Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Stony Brook Seawolves vs. Monmouth Hawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbeb22aaf9dcdeea3ed4257727a455c2d7de25b4f2f6c6ccb8c3a56c78bc50cb6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Monmouth Hawksof Stony Brook Seawolves, Monmouth Hawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,059
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,299
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,059 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Stony Brook Seawolves | 17c | 8,049$1,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,387.45 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Monmouth Hawks | 64c | 937.39$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.51 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Stony Brook Seawolves | 36c | 930.21$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.87 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Stony Brook Seawolves | 38c | 652.36$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.95 | 77 | 27.3%21 W · 56 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 15c | 516.68$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.28 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Monmouth Hawks | 62c | 419.71$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.49 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Stony Brook Seawolves | 31c | 396.99$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.61 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Monmouth Hawks | 78c | 357.7$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.54 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Stony Brook Seawolves | 36c | 300.28$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.1 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Monmouth Hawks | 71c | 225.83$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.24 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Stony Brook Seawolves | 37c | 199.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Monmouth Hawks | 63c | 180.51$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.24 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc554…00adbacked Stony Brook Seawolves | 18c | 147.13$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 10c | 140.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3d…3ec1backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 38c | 132.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5f…56a0backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 38c | 130.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdb…2e87backed Monmouth Hawks | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed Monmouth Hawks | 62c | 99.97$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.99 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…c2dfbacked Stony Brook Seawolves | 37c | 99.18$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…d57bbacked Stony Brook Seawolves | 13c | 80.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Monmouth Hawks | 63c | 79.36$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.36 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca7…b4adbacked Monmouth Hawks | 64c | 77.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Monmouth Hawks | 63c | 69.18$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 30c | 68.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.86 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Monmouth Hawks | 63c | 62.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.3 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe496…4d8bbacked Monmouth Hawks | 63c | 40.67$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Monmouth Hawks | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Monmouth Hawks | 63c | 38.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Monmouth Hawks | 63c | 31.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Monmouth Hawks | 63c | 31.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82f…ba73backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 38c | 31.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Monmouth Hawks | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 390 | 50.5%197 W · 193 L | -34.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Stony Brook Seawolves | 37c | 27.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd08…84b0backed Monmouth Hawks | 73c | 20.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 299 | 54.2%162 W · 137 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc250…5eafbacked Monmouth Hawks | 78c | 17.86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.94 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 71cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stony Brook Seawolves vs. Monmouth Hawksthis page
- Stony Brook Seawolves vs. Monmouth Hawks: O/U 143.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.