Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Colorado Buffaloes vs. Stanford Cardinal
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbed5196060baf87db23e3fe413b66f0ad7bdf833984d2d13eb11c45309acb6f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stanford Cardinalof Colorado Buffaloes, Stanford Cardinal
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,551
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,593
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,551 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 60c | 1,020$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607 | 160 | 53.8%86 W · 74 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Stanford Cardinal | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Colorado Buffaloes | 67c | 795.7$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.61 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Stanford Cardinal | 40c | 778.5$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.36 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Stanford Cardinal | 43c | 700$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399 | 294 | 44.6%131 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Stanford Cardinal | 37c | 499.99$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 57c | 499.84$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.99 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Stanford Cardinal | 29c | 350$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.5 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Colorado Buffaloes | 62c | 321.39$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.57 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Stanford Cardinal | 39c | 214.09$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.62 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2862…b2ddbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 65c | 200$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 109 | 39.4%43 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Stanford Cardinal | 37c | 157.97$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.23 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Stanford Cardinal | 41c | 135$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.12 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Stanford Cardinal | 41c | 120$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.8 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Colorado Buffaloes | 28c | 88.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Stanford Cardinal | 35c | 85.23$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.1 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Colorado Buffaloes | 60c | 69.22$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.79 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Stanford Cardinal | 35c | 47$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Colorado Buffaloes | 45c | 37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72e4…0369backed Colorado Buffaloes | 59c | 33.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Stanford Cardinal | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Colorado Buffaloes | 63c | 27.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Colorado Buffaloes | 62c | 21.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Colorado Buffaloes | 62c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.