Tennis · resolved market
ITF Ystad: Vivian Wolff vs Lea Nilsson
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbedd5465d8e4b1c36ae5b0ea79b35a0e2d30b970bade670cc8a4d751fe104809
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lea Nilssonof Vivian Wolff, Lea Nilsson
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,161
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,562
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,161 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Vivian Wolff | 72c | 2,667$1,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,918.64 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9c…cf78backed Vivian Wolff | 1c | 2,500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 111 | 31.5%35 W · 76 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Lea Nilsson | 26c | 1,111$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.13 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Lea Nilsson | 25c | 662.2$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.65 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Vivian Wolff | 63c | 535.98$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.67 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Lea Nilsson | 29c | 497.06$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.8 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf97d…5250backed Vivian Wolff | 71c | 460.06$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lea Nilsson | 32c | 420.87$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.21 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Vivian Wolff | 4c | 400$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 487 | 38.4%187 W · 300 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Lea Nilsson | 31c | 371$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.99 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Vivian Wolff | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 300 | 40%120 W · 180 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90bb…531fbacked Vivian Wolff | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 199 | 41.7%83 W · 116 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Vivian Wolff | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 482 | 35.9%173 W · 309 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Vivian Wolff | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 694 | 38%264 W · 430 L | +21.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca2…088ebacked Vivian Wolff | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 197 | 44.7%88 W · 109 L | +17.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcc75…af4dbacked Vivian Wolff | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 188 | 41.5%78 W · 110 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8678…b755backed Vivian Wolff | 80c | 254.94$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.95 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Vivian Wolff | 73c | 222.36$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.77 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4db8…9751backed Lea Nilsson | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.19 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Vivian Wolff | 74c | 180.54$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.6 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Vivian Wolff | 65c | 171.66$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.4 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Lea Nilsson | 33c | 145.43$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.44 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe34c…ca55backed Lea Nilsson | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Lea Nilsson | 26c | 99.52$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.64 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Vivian Wolff | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Lea Nilsson | 31c | 69.87$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.21 | 368 | 39.1%144 W · 224 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Lea Nilsson | 60c | 66$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 492 | 52.4%258 W · 234 L | +28.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Lea Nilsson | 34c | 61.72$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.72 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba1a…85febacked Vivian Wolff | 67c | 45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 726 | 51.8%376 W · 350 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9dd…13a2backed Vivian Wolff | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Vivian Wolff | 68c | 37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Vivian Wolff | 66c | 36.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.41 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Vivian Wolff | 67c | 35.74$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lea Nilsson | 33c | 35.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Vivian Wolff | 66c | 32.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabbc…04a3backed Vivian Wolff | 76c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 189 | 57.7%109 W · 80 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Vivian Wolff | 68c | 28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Lea Nilsson | 79c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Vivian Wolff | 63c | 27.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 391 | 61.4%240 W · 151 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Vivian Wolff | 53c | 23.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Vivian Wolff | 74c | 13.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.