CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ex-1win vs Lazer Cats (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbee300fa1500fc9f0a4dc4c5de0565888e2448c011991b2abdd0a8dc0e1ba1ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lazer Catsof ex-1win, Lazer Cats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,202
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,734
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,202 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Lazer Cats | 27c | 802.09$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.81 | 883 | 30.7%271 W · 612 L | -63.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…ca3fbacked ex-1win | 51c | 665.97$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.64 | 358 | 47.5%170 W · 188 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed ex-1win | 76c | 564.08$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.08 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Lazer Cats | 37c | 507.78$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.93 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ex-1win | 70c | 343.36$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.03 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73bf…8475backed ex-1win | 51c | 294.95$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked ex-1win | 47c | 227.5$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.03 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Lazer Cats | 42c | 208.29$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.4 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed ex-1win | 77c | 188.37$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.85 | 622 | 48.2%300 W · 322 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0054…59ffbacked ex-1win | 63c | 177.38$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.27 | 129 | 57.4%74 W · 55 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x233a…ae12backed Lazer Cats | 29c | 170.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.52 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed ex-1win | 61c | 162.63$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.49 | 370 | 57%211 W · 159 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Lazer Cats | 29c | 151.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.66 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked ex-1win | 53c | 146$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.68 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Lazer Cats | 47c | 120.95$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 351 | 41.6%146 W · 205 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed ex-1win | 73c | 110.46$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.08 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked Lazer Cats | 33c | 89.19$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.94 | 587 | 45.5%267 W · 320 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked ex-1win | 46c | 85.9$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.48 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked ex-1win | 25c | 83.74$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Lazer Cats | 24c | 72.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.66 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked ex-1win | 63c | 72$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.36 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ex-1win | 68c | 69.28$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.19 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc92…cc39backed ex-1win | 31c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Lazer Cats | 48c | 59.37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.87 | 739 | 48.4%358 W · 381 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed ex-1win | 75c | 56.76$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.39 | 514 | 46.9%241 W · 273 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Lazer Cats | 42c | 54.45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 752 | 45.3%341 W · 411 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Lazer Cats | 41c | 51$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.03 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Lazer Cats | 32c | 49.45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.84 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lazer Cats | 50c | 47.93$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.83 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed ex-1win | 62c | 42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked ex-1win | 53c | 40.61$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf2…ac54backed Lazer Cats | 35c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Lazer Cats | 40c | 39.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.96 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed ex-1win | 54c | 37.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.31 | 694 | 45%312 W · 382 L | -24.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Lazer Cats | 36c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked ex-1win | 67c | 28.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Lazer Cats | 51c | 27.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73db…1507backed ex-1win | 76c | 26.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4d…a7e9backed ex-1win | 72c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c7…c33ebacked ex-1win | 65c | 24.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf67f…3f61backed Lazer Cats | 63c | 23.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4936…38a6backed ex-1win | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -6.6wins | -0.27per pick | 59cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1e…fa69backed ex-1win | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.43per pick | 57cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x48c5…10fcbacked ex-1win | 52c | 19.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fa…f8d3backed ex-1win | 67c | 18.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0c…a98fbacked ex-1win | 67c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed ex-1win | 75c | 14.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 164 | 61.6%101 W · 63 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed ex-1win | 72c | 14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ex-1win vs Lazer Cats (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: ex-1win vs Lazer Cats - Map 1 Winnerex-1win won
- Counter-Strike: ex-1win vs Lazer Cats - Map 2 WinnerLazer Cats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.