South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: CF Pachuca (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbeea8bb556f5449fa796a4d65e1bcd77413113c682ebe561bc1590c07dc270de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CF Pachucaof CF Pachuca, Club Santos Laguna
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,194
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,225
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,194 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed CF Pachuca | 46c | 8,891$4,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,801.08 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Club Santos Laguna | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 230 | 57.4%132 W · 98 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Club Santos Laguna | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Club Santos Laguna | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Club Santos Laguna | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Club Santos Laguna | 57c | 740.06$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.95 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Club Santos Laguna | 57c | 647.67$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.86 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Club Santos Laguna | 48c | 602.23$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.29 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Club Santos Laguna | 54c | 326.03$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.06 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed CF Pachuca | 40c | 300.63$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.38 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Club Santos Laguna | 57c | 212.72$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.59 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Club Santos Laguna | 57c | 212.72$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.59 | 281 | 58.7%165 W · 116 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Club Santos Laguna | 57c | 212.13$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.59 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Club Santos Laguna | 57c | 212.13$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.59 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Club Santos Laguna | 57c | 212.13$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.59 | 159 | 56.6%90 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Club Santos Laguna | 54c | 196.72$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.23 | 166 | 53.6%89 W · 77 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Club Santos Laguna | 55c | 181.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Club Santos Laguna | 54c | 170.72$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.19 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Club Santos Laguna | 54c | 170.72$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.19 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Club Santos Laguna | 54c | 170.72$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.19 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Club Santos Laguna | 54c | 170.72$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.19 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Club Santos Laguna | 57c | 165$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.05 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed CF Pachuca | 43c | 165$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.05 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Club Santos Laguna | 60c | 161.06$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.6 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Club Santos Laguna | 60c | 161$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.6 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Club Santos Laguna | 56c | 160$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.44 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed CF Pachuca | 33c | 153.7$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.32 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Club Santos Laguna | 54c | 138.98$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.05 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Club Santos Laguna | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Club Santos Laguna | 57c | 81.79$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked Club Santos Laguna | 54c | 67.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.71 | 78 | 67.9%53 W · 25 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed CF Pachuca | 44c | 58.51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.04 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Club Santos Laguna | 54c | 56.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Club Santos Laguna | 54c | 55.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -9.0wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed CF Pachuca | 67c | 54$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked CF Pachuca | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Club Santos Laguna | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked CF Pachuca | 42c | 38.72$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.51 | 130 | 23.1%30 W · 100 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed CF Pachuca | 44c | 33.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked CF Pachuca | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Club Santos Laguna | 48c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked CF Pachuca | 47c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 292 | 45.2%132 W · 160 L | -24.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b74…1e21backed Club Santos Laguna | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bec…3702backed CF Pachuca | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10a0…e54dbacked Club Santos Laguna | 54c | 18.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: CF Pachuca (-1.5)this page
- CF Pachuca vs. Club Santos Laguna: O/U 1.5Over won
- CF Pachuca vs. Club Santos Laguna: O/U 2.5Over won
- CF Pachuca vs. Club Santos Laguna: O/U 3.5Over won
- CF Pachuca vs. Club Santos Laguna: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: CF Pachuca (-2.5)Club Santos Laguna won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.