Tennis · resolved market
Morelos: Federico Agustin Gomez vs Dan Martin
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf04bcb437832197923e3a181d52197a53585ff76c547654a2f5ff20e78c8fd0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dan Martinof Federico Agustin Gomez, Dan Martin
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,909
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,909 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Dan Martin | 55c | 4,659$2,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,083.89 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Dan Martin | 18c | 3,207$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,621.86 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Dan Martin | 23c | 2,179$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.6 | 717 | 25.2%181 W · 536 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Dan Martin | 17c | 2,100$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,733.97 | 469 | 32%150 W · 319 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Dan Martin | 18c | 1,250$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.99 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa08…d98abacked Dan Martin | 45c | 1,109$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.52 | 249 | 62.2%155 W · 94 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Dan Martin | 21c | 1,041$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.57 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Federico Agustin Gomez | 72c | 995.33$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.97 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Dan Martin | 24c | 917.06$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.28 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Dan Martin | 13c | 855.36$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.17 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Federico Agustin Gomez | 54c | 698.82$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.16 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Dan Martin | 35c | 621.45$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.16 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Dan Martin | 16c | 474.42$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.51 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Federico Agustin Gomez | 67c | 391.17$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.01 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Dan Martin | 18c | 389.12$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.14 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Federico Agustin Gomez | 66c | 381.06$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251 | 191 | 67%128 W · 63 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ac…fed6backed Dan Martin | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Dan Martin | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.12 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Dan Martin | 16c | 293.97$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.83 | 544 | 34.2%186 W · 358 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Dan Martin | 19c | 268$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.41 | 74 | 27%20 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Federico Agustin Gomez | 53c | 199.99$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 514 | 45.5%234 W · 280 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Federico Agustin Gomez | 74c | 185.09$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.65 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Dan Martin | 28c | 181$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.24 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Dan Martin | 21c | 174.83$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.74 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Dan Martin | 18c | 167$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.94 | 602 | 40.5%244 W · 358 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Dan Martin | 18c | 150$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Federico Agustin Gomez | 70c | 139.8$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.22 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Dan Martin | 20c | 132.66$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.11 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Federico Agustin Gomez | 68c | 129$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.17 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Dan Martin | 24c | 121.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.05 | 363 | 33.9%123 W · 240 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c1…7fbebacked Dan Martin | 15c | 118.67$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.29 | 282 | 47.9%135 W · 147 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Dan Martin | 17c | 112.44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.38 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2280…3780backed Dan Martin | 19c | 110.21$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.27 | 151 | 63.6%96 W · 55 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacb4…7595backed Dan Martin | 21c | 109.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.39 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x351b…4d06backed Federico Agustin Gomez | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Dan Martin | 19c | 100$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.5 | 147 | 46.3%68 W · 79 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Federico Agustin Gomez | 55c | 98.41$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.15 | 440 | 38.4%169 W · 271 L | -27.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Dan Martin | 18c | 94.69$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.48 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Dan Martin | 37c | 90.53$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.73 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Dan Martin | 17c | 87.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.92 | 958 | 46.6%446 W · 512 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f3…1f2abacked Dan Martin | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Dan Martin | 41c | 82.94$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.26 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Dan Martin | 19c | 76.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.62 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Dan Martin | 16c | 64.36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.28 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed Federico Agustin Gomez | 59c | 64$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.52 | 652 | 64.1%418 W · 234 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bfc…8eb3backed Dan Martin | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45c1…4364backed Federico Agustin Gomez | 79c | 53.87$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.56 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Dan Martin | 19c | 53$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.93 | 328 | 42.7%140 W · 188 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Federico Agustin Gomez | 80c | 52.85$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.28 | 658 | 49.4%325 W · 333 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56cd…2ddcbacked Federico Agustin Gomez | 58c | 46.55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 232 | 49.1%114 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd0…f7abbacked Federico Agustin Gomez | 66c | 44.31$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b80…08fabacked Federico Agustin Gomez | 78c | 40$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb915…8ecebacked Federico Agustin Gomez | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x071f…92bdbacked Federico Agustin Gomez | 71c | 31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 1,076 | 73.8%794 W · 282 L | +41.1wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Federico Agustin Gomez | 72c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 692 | 49.6%343 W · 349 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Dan Martin | 36c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea5d…d375backed Federico Agustin Gomez | 67c | 22.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…d2b5backed Federico Agustin Gomez | 74c | 21.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 416 | 68%283 W · 133 L | +23.6wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Federico Agustin Gomez | 77c | 16.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…2d57backed Federico Agustin Gomez | 80c | 16.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +5.2wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Morelos: Federico Agustin Gomez vs Dan Martinthis page
- Gomez vs. Martin: Match O/U 21.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.