CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs Inner Circle Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf5b95fd7b386ffedb72d2fcfb150564bcc47790ed3575c47a4a3a99210737b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Inner Circle Esportsof FUT Esports, Inner Circle Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,987
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,399
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,987 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x098b…1fa5backed Inner Circle Esports | 48c | 7,522$3,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,917.95 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Inner Circle Esports | 47c | 4,158$1,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,203.84 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6902…b4cabacked FUT Esports | 53c | 3,681$1,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,943.36 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed FUT Esports | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 352 | 36.4%128 W · 224 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Inner Circle Esports | 49c | 2,854$1,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,457.58 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd500…4568backed FUT Esports | 52c | 2,604$1,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,353.97 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7193…ae51backed FUT Esports | 52c | 2,527$1,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,314.12 | 298 | 58.4%174 W · 124 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked FUT Esports | 52c | 2,064$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.48 | 535 | 45%241 W · 294 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Inner Circle Esports | 48c | 1,263$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.41 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Inner Circle Esports | 49c | 1,009$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.49 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec7b…917ebacked FUT Esports | 53c | 1,004$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.57 | 277 | 40.8%113 W · 164 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd2…f8a0backed Inner Circle Esports | 48c | 792.02$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.85 | 187 | 52.4%98 W · 89 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Inner Circle Esports | 47c | 776.88$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.74 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked FUT Esports | 51c | 574.75$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.12 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked FUT Esports | 50c | 466.8$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.4 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…3fa0backed FUT Esports | 54c | 444$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.76 | 500 | 43%215 W · 285 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…3a14backed FUT Esports | 53c | 322.77$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.07 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed FUT Esports | 52c | 280.15$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.68 | 590 | 49.7%293 W · 297 L | -31.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…b54abacked FUT Esports | 53c | 256.7$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.05 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…04a1backed FUT Esports | 52c | 248.55$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.25 | 314 | 44.9%141 W · 173 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Inner Circle Esports | 48c | 247$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.53 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Inner Circle Esports | 48c | 234.19$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.91 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2606…ba10backed FUT Esports | 51c | 213.72$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed FUT Esports | 53c | 205.36$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.84 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed FUT Esports | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 676 | 51.8%350 W · 326 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed FUT Esports | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Inner Circle Esports | 52c | 194.24$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.24 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Inner Circle Esports | 50c | 194$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 503 | 40.2%202 W · 301 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Inner Circle Esports | 49c | 170.83$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.12 | 611 | 54.7%334 W · 277 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb7…a4b4backed Inner Circle Esports | 50c | 156.75$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.38 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked Inner Circle Esports | 63c | 136.57$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.53 | 840 | 37.9%318 W · 522 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed FUT Esports | 53c | 128.35$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.03 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed Inner Circle Esports | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…3234backed FUT Esports | 51c | 97.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…164bbacked FUT Esports | 51c | 97.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 334 | 59%197 W · 137 L | +24.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0010…c3a8backed FUT Esports | 51c | 95.16$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 316 | 73.7%233 W · 83 L | +23.6wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Inner Circle Esports | 37c | 82.36$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.89 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked FUT Esports | 63c | 80.53$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.73 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…56aebacked Inner Circle Esports | 53c | 64.21$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.2 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed FUT Esports | 52c | 58.88$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.71 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1812…0db6backed FUT Esports | 34c | 58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51b7…2fc7backed FUT Esports | 52c | 57.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 434 | 42.2%183 W · 251 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Inner Circle Esports | 66c | 56.82$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 655 | 46.9%307 W · 348 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x911f…5ed0backed Inner Circle Esports | 49c | 53.87$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.47 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x846d…67b3backed FUT Esports | 51c | 50.47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 248 | 42.7%106 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddb…513dbacked Inner Circle Esports | 50c | 48.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed Inner Circle Esports | 50c | 46.75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.38 | 220 | 45.5%100 W · 120 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x675c…4341backed FUT Esports | 54c | 45.19$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x399c…6191backed FUT Esports | 65c | 45.03$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 169 | 65.1%110 W · 59 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed FUT Esports | 45c | 42.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 238 | 51.7%123 W · 115 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Inner Circle Esports | 34c | 40.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.05 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked FUT Esports | 52c | 38.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 667 | 53.1%354 W · 313 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…c21fbacked FUT Esports | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed FUT Esports | 53c | 35.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | -27.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5be2…8fa3backed FUT Esports | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 217 | 62.7%136 W · 81 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Inner Circle Esports | 49c | 29.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 315 | 32.4%102 W · 213 L | -15.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…c005backed FUT Esports | 52c | 29.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 223 | 42.2%94 W · 129 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Inner Circle Esports | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4dd…4f27backed Inner Circle Esports | 43c | 24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 509 | 47%239 W · 270 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked FUT Esports | 58c | 19.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs Inner Circle Esports (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group StageFUT Esports won
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Inner Circle Esports - Map 1 WinnerInner Circle Esports won
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Inner Circle Esports - Map 2 WinnerFUT Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.