NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. Hawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc00c11657f499ea12a436a64d7a4c17ac803d1dae1bca578d4bbb1ab41979fe3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Celtics, Hawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,481
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,275
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,481 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Hawks | 19c | 4,533$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.28 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +5.0wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Hawks | 19c | 1,737$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.82 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Hawks | 20c | 1,602$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.46 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Hawks | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Hawks | 19c | 986.81$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.49 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Hawks | 17c | 883.05$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.86 | 117 | 19.7%23 W · 94 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Hawks | 1c | 842.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd968…bd18backed Hawks | 17c | 591.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4192…7f00backed Hawks | 19c | 527$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.13 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…2032backed Hawks | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17de…8b83backed Celtics | 80c | 511.85$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.37 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Hawks | 18c | 510.24$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.84 | 141 | 29.1%41 W · 100 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…24c2backed Hawks | 20c | 453.36$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.67 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x527c…5f6cbacked Hawks | 18c | 415.94$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.87 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked Celtics | 80c | 345$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…a6abbacked Hawks | 20c | 345$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x007c…82fdbacked Celtics | 79c | 262.17$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.06 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9b…fe0fbacked Hawks | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 136 | 11.8%16 W · 120 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Celtics | 79c | 149.95$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09e8…9c65backed Celtics | 80c | 134$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Hawks | 18c | 129.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 774 | 37.5%290 W · 484 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Celtics | 80c | 127.61$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.52 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Hawks | 19c | 110.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Celtics | 71c | 83$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.77 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Hawks | 29c | 83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.77 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf40d…0197backed Hawks | 21c | 76.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7742…03e9backed Hawks | 14c | 73.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -17.7wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Hawks | 18c | 70.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 162 | 42%68 W · 94 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…4b4bbacked Celtics | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7405…2797backed Celtics | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bf…e13cbacked Celtics | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca69…fd01backed Celtics | 79c | 16.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.49 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…9099backed Celtics | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c8…1d90backed Celtics | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.