MLB · resolved market
Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc01b0a6da8a4720ba656da775f3059ccbbac669650a9aa8a1522432622f38dee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Colorado Rockiesof Houston Astros, Colorado Rockies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,632
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,097
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,632 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Houston Astros | 24c | 4,649$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.23 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Colorado Rockies | 54c | 3,461$1,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,592.29 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Colorado Rockies | 70c | 3,413$2,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.09 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Houston Astros | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.99 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Houston Astros | 45c | 1,971$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.99 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Houston Astros | 48c | 1,947$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.79 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Colorado Rockies | 52c | 935.3$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.72 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed Houston Astros | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Houston Astros | 47c | 451.93$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.41 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a7…ac65backed Houston Astros | 5c | 278.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Colorado Rockies | 50c | 267.7$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.84 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Houston Astros | 38c | 247.03$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.87 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf21…2ed8backed Houston Astros | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Colorado Rockies | 72c | 192.87$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.77 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Houston Astros | 32c | 191.84$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.39 | 341 | 45.2%154 W · 187 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Houston Astros | 47c | 150.25$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.62 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1880…a421backed Houston Astros | 51c | 140.83$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.82 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Colorado Rockies | 51c | 110$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.94 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Colorado Rockies | 51c | 105.88$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.88 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Houston Astros | 46c | 102.96$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.76 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3735…3d9dbacked Colorado Rockies | 52c | 97.12$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.62 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Colorado Rockies | 52c | 85.65$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.11 | 293 | 54.9%161 W · 132 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed Houston Astros | 36c | 80.34$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.92 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Houston Astros | 32c | 63.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Colorado Rockies | 52c | 61.19$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Colorado Rockies | 52c | 61.19$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4f…628ebacked Colorado Rockies | 52c | 61.19$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Colorado Rockies | 52c | 61.19$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 452 | 46.2%209 W · 243 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Colorado Rockies | 52c | 61.19$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 515 | 55.7%287 W · 228 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Colorado Rockies | 52c | 61.19$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 294 | 50.7%149 W · 145 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Colorado Rockies | 52c | 61.19$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Colorado Rockies | 52c | 61.19$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 122 | 50.8%62 W · 60 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Colorado Rockies | 52c | 56.03$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.89 | 238 | 51.3%122 W · 116 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Colorado Rockies | 51c | 53.79$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.36 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Houston Astros | 38c | 52.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fd…b476backed Houston Astros | 48c | 52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Colorado Rockies | 52c | 51.1$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.53 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Colorado Rockies | 52c | 50.85$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.41 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Colorado Rockies | 52c | 50.85$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.41 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked Colorado Rockies | 52c | 50.85$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.41 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -9.0wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -33%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Colorado Rockies | 52c | 50.85$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.41 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Colorado Rockies | 52c | 50.85$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.41 | 253 | 49.4%125 W · 128 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x231f…254bbacked Colorado Rockies | 52c | 50.85$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.41 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Colorado Rockies | 52c | 50.85$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.41 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Colorado Rockies | 52c | 50.85$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.41 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Colorado Rockies | 52c | 50.85$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.41 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Colorado Rockies | 52c | 50.85$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.41 | 286 | 46.2%132 W · 154 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Colorado Rockies | 52c | 50.76$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.37 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Colorado Rockies | 52c | 50.25$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.12 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Colorado Rockies | 52c | 46.69$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.41 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1f…acafbacked Colorado Rockies | 52c | 46.69$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.41 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Houston Astros | 46c | 43.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Colorado Rockies | 54c | 38.55$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 1,057 | 50.2%531 W · 526 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Colorado Rockies | 54c | 35.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.26 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Houston Astros | 34c | 34.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x648d…0ebdbacked Colorado Rockies | 54c | 30.61$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 128 | 64.1%82 W · 46 L | +11.8wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfae5…f940backed Houston Astros | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 816 | 51.8%423 W · 393 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Houston Astros | 37c | 29.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 667 | 49.3%329 W · 338 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa106…5abbbacked Colorado Rockies | 51c | 28.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.81 | 197 | 52.3%103 W · 94 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb7…ca4abacked Houston Astros | 45c | 24.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Colorado Rockies | 53c | 24.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 653 | 59.6%389 W · 264 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Colorado Rockies | 52c | 21.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.48 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Colorado Rockies | 52c | 20.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.77 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe777…c734backed Colorado Rockies | 52c | 19.57$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)this page
- Houston Astros vs. Colorado RockiesColorado Rockies won
- Houston Astros vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 15.5Under won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-3.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-4.5)Colorado Rockies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.