MLB · resolved market
Houston Astros vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7e89982a30b503cc7f5b906f41d7585905bcb82b67d51ebe1f376df0bb80f5b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,150
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,112
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,150 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 49c | 5,934$2,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,887.38 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Under | 53c | 4,373$2,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,055.36 | 246 | 51.6%127 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Under | 52c | 4,170$2,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000.27 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…9504backed Under | 53c | 3,120$1,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,466.39 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Over | 47c | 2,972$1,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,396.9 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 67c | 1,835$1,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.89 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 47c | 1,807$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.36 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 45c | 1,612$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.41 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 47c | 1,322$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.15 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99a7…fc82backed Under | 54c | 1,271$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.86 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Over | 46c | 1,200$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 53c | 1,035$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.56 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Over | 47c | 1,015$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.93 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x96ac…61e8backed Under | 52c | 971.2$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.18 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 47c | 850.05$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.03 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Over | 46c | 731.12$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.31 | 304 | 54.3%165 W · 139 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 54c | 699.71$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.06 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x349d…ed27backed Over | 62c | 639.07$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 38c | 615.1$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.12 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under | 51c | 499.97$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.98 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -8.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd754…7857backed Over | 54c | 453.01$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.7 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69c2…40cfbacked Over | 58c | 419.58$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.71 | 182 | 39.6%72 W · 110 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd7…eac9backed Over | 49c | 407.15$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.5 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 50c | 406.6$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.01 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 398.04$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.14 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Over | 49c | 395.67$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.88 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Under | 51c | 334.56$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.94 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Over | 47c | 297.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.06 | 366 | 49.2%180 W · 186 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Over | 49c | 290.82$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7b…9c3abacked Under | 54c | 270.11$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.25 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…93cebacked Over | 47c | 265.72$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.89 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Over | 45c | 241.75$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.79 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 52c | 222.22$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.27 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Over | 48c | 216$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.68 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 37c | 215.78$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.24 | 483 | 39.8%192 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 47c | 206$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.82 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 50c | 205$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.59 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb6…8af4backed Over | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.94 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 48c | 194.52$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.42 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 54c | 172.11$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.17 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 54c | 172.11$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.17 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Under | 51c | 164.77$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.36 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Over | 54c | 124.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.49 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Over | 54c | 124.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.49 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62db…d58ebacked Over | 46c | 107.53$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.46 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Over | 47c | 103.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.12 | 558 | 47.7%266 W · 292 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x665e…7291backed Under | 53c | 99.01$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.54 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d14…ff3ebacked Over | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb1…8436backed Over | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Under | 54c | 90.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.42 | 294 | 50.7%149 W · 145 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Over | 48c | 83.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.55 | 499 | 42.9%214 W · 285 L | -31.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb7…ca4abacked Under | 50c | 82.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Under | 54c | 72.03$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.13 | 238 | 51.3%122 W · 116 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 53c | 67.15$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 46c | 61.15$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Over | 49c | 57.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.48 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 66c | 53.92$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Over | 47c | 51.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Under | 40c | 50.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.54 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Over | 57c | 50.19$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.48 | 422 | 41%173 W · 249 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Under | 52c | 48.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1f…acafbacked Under | 54c | 45.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f90…4e02backed Over | 49c | 43.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a27…2fdcbacked Over | 49c | 41.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Over | 47c | 40.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 46c | 40.23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.89 | 254 | 52%132 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 46c | 40.19$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 701 | 54.2%380 W · 321 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bf…8ec8backed Over | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Under | 53c | 38.91$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.14 | 217 | 46.5%101 W · 116 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x442e…a738backed Over | 49c | 36.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafcd…8014backed Over | 47c | 35.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 46c | 33.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Over | 47c | 32.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +7.3wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 68c | 31.7$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over | 46c | 31.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 335 | 47.5%159 W · 176 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Over | 48c | 28.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cb…4789backed Over | 68c | 27.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.41 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x792a…7364backed Over | 54c | 27.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…d801backed Under | 56c | 26.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 45c | 25.44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…456bbacked Over | 49c | 23.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba83…4f66backed Under | 52c | 21.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.51 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40f…f1aebacked Under | 47c | 21.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.46 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeac9…4092backed Under | 53c | 21.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 52c | 19.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Houston Astros vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5this page
- Houston Astros vs. Colorado RockiesColorado Rockies won
- Houston Astros vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 15.5Under won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-3.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-4.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Colorado Rockies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.