Tennis · resolved market
ITF Kutaisi: Yanki Erel vs Daniil Ostapenkov
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc04df254ee7d2493b74b4554d66d290d7f6e80510888a07fa79dba769ab8b071
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yanki Erelof Yanki Erel, Daniil Ostapenkov
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,622
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,496
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,622 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Daniil Ostapenkov | 12c | 2,100$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.33 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b8f…449bbacked Yanki Erel | 71c | 1,736$1,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.09 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Daniil Ostapenkov | 30c | 1,017$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.06 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Daniil Ostapenkov | 28c | 621$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.56 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Daniil Ostapenkov | 28c | 545.22$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.5 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4571…a952backed Yanki Erel | 70c | 514.29$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.29 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -7.2wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab0…0a44backed Yanki Erel | 69c | 436.66$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.91 | 36 | 75%27 W · 9 L | +5.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Daniil Ostapenkov | 26c | 419.29$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.41 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…b4f2backed Yanki Erel | 65c | 400$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 457 | 44.2%202 W · 255 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Daniil Ostapenkov | 31c | 400$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56d8…1ccebacked Yanki Erel | 72c | 347.22$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.22 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Daniil Ostapenkov | 13c | 263$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.71 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…3b08backed Daniil Ostapenkov | 35c | 249.91$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 509 | 58%295 W · 214 L | -26.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Daniil Ostapenkov | 20c | 197$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.67 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba1a…85febacked Daniil Ostapenkov | 36c | 193.57$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 726 | 51.8%376 W · 350 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x585e…019fbacked Daniil Ostapenkov | 42c | 106.49$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Daniil Ostapenkov | 30c | 102.55$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Daniil Ostapenkov | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 391 | 35.8%140 W · 251 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7d…b743backed Daniil Ostapenkov | 37c | 80.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yanki Erel | 72c | 79.01$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Daniil Ostapenkov | 20c | 58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 359 | 55.7%200 W · 159 L | +20.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e5…f52cbacked Yanki Erel | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Daniil Ostapenkov | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb792…04f7backed Daniil Ostapenkov | 31c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31ab…20e9backed Yanki Erel | 67c | 32.84$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb37a…17c4backed Daniil Ostapenkov | 35c | 31.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Yanki Erel | 65c | 28.49$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Yanki Erel | 64c | 27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd074…5a54backed Yanki Erel | 70c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.