TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pacers vs. Bucks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bucksof Pacers, Bucks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$95,244
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$101,785

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $95,244 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 174 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7e8b…4f21backed Pacers0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1012841.4%53 W · 75 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+55.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x128e…a35bbacked Pacers14c6,117$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852.053724.3%9 W · 28 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick21cpaid-28.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Pacers1c6,050$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.11,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x69fb…1ccdbacked Bucks66c4,567$3,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,552.61520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-69.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa431…677fbacked Pacers10c3,500$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3358417.9%15 W · 69 L-10.2wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-64.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9cfb…df99backed Pacers6c3,196$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.714637%17 W · 29 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Pacers22c2,787$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.9927939.8%111 W · 168 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Pacers16c2,549$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40023646.6%110 W · 126 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe214…fcbabacked Bucks67c2,535$1,705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$830.252055%11 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3169…f6d4backed Pacers33c2,500$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824.94837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-38.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc338…d660backed Pacers34c2,471$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840.07616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick49cpaid-73.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e27…efd1backed Pacers34c2,096$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.54250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Pacers34c2,010$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.3946131%143 W · 318 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Bucks74c1,765$1,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.261532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Pacers22c1,500$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3351,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Pacers9c1,422$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.0111719.7%23 W · 94 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7b6…d93bbacked Bucks66c1,174$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.071127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-50.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbb70…cd89backed Pacers15c1,092$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.74837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-25.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Pacers30c1,052$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.6965642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecb1…4ae4backed Pacers3c1,040$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.76435.9%23 W · 41 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d53…0644backed Bucks67c1,000$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33012154.5%66 W · 55 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6e9…ab83backed Pacers1c1,000$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x576b…7336backed Pacers4c1,000$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3918316.9%31 W · 152 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcde1…dfc0backed Pacers33c999.93$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.982240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick52cpaid+192.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Pacers31c947.34$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.681,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7b2…ece3backed Bucks66c946.7$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.8819642.9%84 W · 112 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9977…085fbacked Pacers6c873.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016617.5%29 W · 137 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2fb8…9ab0backed Pacers34c802$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.681030%3 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid+8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x458d…694cbacked Bucks66c801.97$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.67850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1484…cafebacked Bucks63c762.08$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.9729738.7%115 W · 182 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Pacers23c726.5$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.2529043.8%127 W · 163 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Pacers25c698.52$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.591,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4d0…aac6backed Bucks66c607.56$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.57683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick54cpaid+68%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0ec0…5a57backed Pacers35c607.43$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.6560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+27.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed Bucks67c577.49$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.061668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+30.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Bucks64c519.31$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.9537954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x487f…30babacked Bucks66c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1705248.1%25 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf64…7e54backed Pacers34c500$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1705250%26 W · 26 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+33.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fdd…0b07backed Pacers37c361.93$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.2810334%35 W · 68 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-2.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6cd…acebbacked Pacers33c351.11$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.871957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+18%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b92…8bb4backed Pacers12c312.03$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.17623.7%18 W · 58 L-7.1wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-52.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7742…03e9backed Pacers18c300$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.519939.2%78 W · 121 L-17.7wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-30.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2ce3…8438backed Pacers18c299.98$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.991435.7%5 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick25cpaid-3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ca4…41d5backed Pacers36c286.11$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2b0…77bbbacked Bucks67c285.47$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.57366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+25.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2295…dbdbbacked Pacers35c257.14$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Bucks67c250$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.51,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fd2…5e2abacked Pacers36c244.67$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.084727.7%13 W · 34 L-6.5wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-38%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x05d7…676fbacked Pacers37c227.49$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.179625%24 W · 72 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+36.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9454…6d22backed Bucks66c226.5$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.012748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked Bucks65c206.81$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.3821649.1%106 W · 110 L+18.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Pacers34c200$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6834644.2%153 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x330b…e446backed Pacers34c200$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6811146.8%52 W · 59 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb125…cb78backed Pacers15c166.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253925.6%10 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Bucks67c164.18$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.181,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd64a…2fa2backed Pacers10c159.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.315640.4%63 W · 93 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cf5…c7d5backed Bucks66c155$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.75754.4%31 W · 26 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…33ccbacked Bucks65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.853259.4%19 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3462…d3d2backed Bucks67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2510153.5%54 W · 47 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0397…9c15backed Bucks67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.25955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+49.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9ad…f186backed Bucks67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2518666.1%123 W · 63 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1fe5…500fbacked Pacers37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509431.9%30 W · 64 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75b4…5aabbacked Bucks78c127.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.3917363.6%110 W · 63 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x95e5…44d9backed Bucks63c119.05$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.0510051%51 W · 49 L+7.5wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+14.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Bucks64c116.8$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.0557760.5%349 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Pacers24c113.62$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8145251.1%231 W · 221 L+20.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84de…34e8backed Bucks64c113$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.683100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+104.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3974…79d3backed Pacers36c113$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.6830%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e3a…f76dbacked Bucks67c104.48$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.4811863.6%75 W · 43 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa51b…7c06backed Bucks67c104.48$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.4811863.6%75 W · 43 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49d1…7b96backed Pacers35c100.96$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.3424147.3%114 W · 127 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1689…7915backed Pacers34c100.88$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.31540%6 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xae94…7efbbacked Bucks66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3458754.7%321 W · 266 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8237…a0debacked Pacers34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf423…2360backed Bucks67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331080%8 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+55%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x61ea…d0c1backed Pacers33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3313727.7%38 W · 99 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf93b…bb37backed Pacers33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3327642%116 W · 160 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d46…3bffbacked Pacers17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174922.4%11 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51b1…bce2backed Pacers34c99.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3477437.5%290 W · 484 L-1.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Bucks49c99.28$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.6940448.3%195 W · 209 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5aa…739ebacked Bucks72c98.53$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.59650%3 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+23.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Bucks71c90.72$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5770951.3%364 W · 345 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1eb…76febacked Bucks67c89.55$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5511963.9%76 W · 43 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69eb…1d77backed Bucks67c89.55$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5512064.2%77 W · 43 L-0.3wins0.00per pick64cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1651…5b99backed Bucks77c88.58$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.373839.5%15 W · 23 L-4.4wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8cb1…aebebacked Pacers35c85.71$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x359f…d787backed Bucks66c85.23$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.98862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3e7…a536backed Pacers15c82.72$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125933.9%20 W · 39 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x508f…95c7backed Pacers35c81.14$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.450%0 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xac7b…6535backed Bucks67c81.01$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.739100%9 W · 0 L+4.0wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x3aa2…d83ebacked Bucks74c79.62$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+58.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fa7…1159backed Pacers26c79.62$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x118f…9088backed Bucks67c79.1$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.112165.3%79 W · 42 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7527…0ce5backed Pacers37c77.7$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xda20…948ebacked Bucks64c77.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.72100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+81.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x18ac…15f9backed Bucks67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6311662.1%72 W · 44 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0319…ee14backed Bucks67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6311763.2%74 W · 43 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0af…5490backed Bucks67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6328856.9%164 W · 124 L-1.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3621…4f82backed Bucks67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.633641.7%15 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Bucks67c71.64$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6435734.5%123 W · 234 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.