Tennis · resolved market
ITF The Hague: Iva Primorac vs Lia Karatancheva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc0ed885f3faf09f2b32f27d6e27b1ba41fa56d6d240f96b612547565d8c09bfa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lia Karatanchevaof Iva Primorac, Lia Karatancheva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,744
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,595
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,744 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Iva Primorac | 43c | 19,760$8,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,492.91 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Lia Karatancheva | 37c | 8,451$3,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,352.8 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Lia Karatancheva | 58c | 5,963$3,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,514.83 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lia Karatancheva | 72c | 3,387$2,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.82 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2526…218ebacked Iva Primorac | 71c | 3,060$2,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,177.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Lia Karatancheva | 55c | 2,398$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.73 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Lia Karatancheva | 46c | 694.97$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.99 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Lia Karatancheva | 55c | 545.53$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.61 | 992 | 44.7%443 W · 549 L | -29.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Lia Karatancheva | 45c | 446.98$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.64 | 275 | 49.1%135 W · 140 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Lia Karatancheva | 55c | 419.01$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.98 | 1,459 | 50.1%731 W · 728 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Lia Karatancheva | 63c | 416.24$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.9 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Lia Karatancheva | 55c | 408.43$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.31 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0705…c0febacked Iva Primorac | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lia Karatancheva | 54c | 380.1$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.29 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Lia Karatancheva | 61c | 334.34$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.41 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Lia Karatancheva | 54c | 327.3$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.25 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdf…8116backed Iva Primorac | 51c | 313.99$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.75 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Lia Karatancheva | 54c | 292.77$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.64 | 604 | 52.5%317 W · 287 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Iva Primorac | 74c | 260.95$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.32 | 314 | 43.6%137 W · 177 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lia Karatancheva | 33c | 195.29$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.57 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Lia Karatancheva | 57c | 190.8$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.4 | 226 | 51.8%117 W · 109 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Lia Karatancheva | 56c | 189.63$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.78 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Lia Karatancheva | 55c | 167.84$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.04 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Lia Karatancheva | 56c | 158$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.13 | 1,222 | 55%672 W · 550 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Lia Karatancheva | 66c | 156.37$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.46 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Lia Karatancheva | 58c | 144$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.88 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Lia Karatancheva | 59c | 140$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 275 | 50.2%138 W · 137 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Lia Karatancheva | 59c | 135$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.02 | 295 | 51.5%152 W · 143 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Lia Karatancheva | 74c | 134.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.29 | 788 | 47.5%374 W · 414 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Lia Karatancheva | 52c | 132.38$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.74 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Iva Primorac | 30c | 127.92$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.13 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Lia Karatancheva | 58c | 119.99$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.69 | 197 | 44.7%88 W · 109 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Iva Primorac | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Iva Primorac | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Iva Primorac | 49c | 115$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.78 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Lia Karatancheva | 56c | 114.56$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.05 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked Iva Primorac | 34c | 90.24$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.53 | 273 | 63.4%173 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Iva Primorac | 27c | 72.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bef…5f5dbacked Iva Primorac | 33c | 72.61$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 139 | 65.5%91 W · 48 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0267…7f7ebacked Iva Primorac | 36c | 72$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.88 | 304 | 36.2%110 W · 194 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…5275backed Iva Primorac | 77c | 64.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.02 | 363 | 78.2%284 W · 79 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 77cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Iva Primorac | 43c | 63.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Iva Primorac | 43c | 62.79$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Lia Karatancheva | 61c | 49.64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.43 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe246…dedcbacked Lia Karatancheva | 72c | 41.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 300 | 55.7%167 W · 133 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Iva Primorac | 39c | 35.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Lia Karatancheva | 62c | 30.52$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 423 | 59.1%250 W · 173 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…ed0dbacked Lia Karatancheva | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 324 | 52.5%170 W · 154 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Lia Karatancheva | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Iva Primorac | 52c | 27.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x097c…630abacked Lia Karatancheva | 68c | 26.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 210 | 52.4%110 W · 100 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a3…5b70backed Lia Karatancheva | 57c | 22.9$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Lia Karatancheva | 54c | 18.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4462…bfdfbacked Lia Karatancheva | 59c | 17.45$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.18 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -24.1wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.