Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Vitória SC win on 2026-04-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1231df4ea59a7d4fc2edcd5feeddc4bd7ba871f83f64848540c88d3825cb4e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,729
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,627
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,729 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 57c | 4,370$2,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,884.34 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc418…5e1ebacked Yes | 28c | 2,734$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.44 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 48c | 2,270$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,186.3 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…4a6fbacked Yes | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 42cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 104 | 35.6%37 W · 67 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 53c | 916.8$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.9 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 60c | 903.19$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.49 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 61c | 871.29$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.19 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bff…c8a8backed Yes | 28c | 683.43$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.36 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88ba…b99abacked Yes | 53c | 672.03$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.17 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 61c | 433.06$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.99 | 265 | 49.4%131 W · 134 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 70c | 329.64$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.55 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…0262backed Yes | 33c | 298.68$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.22 | 79 | 26.6%21 W · 58 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Yes | 47c | 288.4$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.55 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 39c | 256.63$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.54 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 61c | 240$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.4 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 20c | 238$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 55c | 212.46$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.08 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a54…4e11backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x077f…ca20backed Yes | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.18 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 39cpaid | -76%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 41c | 179.82$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.1 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked Yes | 60c | 177.68$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.41 | 62 | 72.6%45 W · 17 L | +7.6wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 47c | 145.17$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.94 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 55c | 142$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.46 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 71c | 128.41$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d2…3287backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked No | 39c | 74.11$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.21 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Yes | 55c | 70.84$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.69 | 260 | 60.8%158 W · 102 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Yes | 55c | 70.84$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.69 | 133 | 60.2%80 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked Yes | 55c | 70.76$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.92 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 49c | 55.56$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.16 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 38c | 50.16$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.1 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x311f…2aebbacked No | 39c | 49.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.14 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes | 71c | 47.66$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.84 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5483…5e9fbacked Yes | 42c | 45.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 48c | 42.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.3 | 84 | 29.8%25 W · 59 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 65c | 38.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.21 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7abf…8dd3backed No | 66c | 38.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.21 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 38c | 38.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.67 | 124 | 37.9%47 W · 77 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Yes | 35c | 36.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 105 | 24.8%26 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 42c | 35.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.62 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 39c | 34.66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.03 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked No | 69c | 33.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec9…b76bbacked No | 48c | 30.02$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…4a7cbacked No | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f2…2512backed Yes | 62c | 29.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -10.8wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Yes | 62c | 29.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 41c | 29.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f62…a825backed Yes | 38c | 28.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 45c | 27.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 328 | 35.4%116 W · 212 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 55c | 27.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 322 | 59.3%191 W · 131 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Yes | 45c | 27.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 59c | 26.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 61c | 24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 192 | 65.1%125 W · 67 L | +13.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc6…0f52backed Yes | 62c | 19.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa93…a0c9backed Yes | 52c | 19.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 18 | 88.9%16 W · 2 L | +4.0wins | +0.22per pick | 67cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 53c | 18.95$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 191 | 56.5%108 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceb6…c637backed Yes | 62c | 17.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Vitória SC win on 2026-04-11?this page
- Will AVS Futebol vs. Vitória SC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will AVS Futebol win on 2026-04-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.