Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will AVS Futebol vs. Vitória SC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa74017eab1aa1782765de38391cd9c5426fe8c9e5f2e98d6d5fd53968543f9e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,453
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,828
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,453 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 55c | 3,552$1,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,952.68 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 35c | 3,372$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,195 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b70…6ccebacked Yes | 59c | 1,653$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.82 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 26c | 736.61$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.35 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 4c | 723.03$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.36 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 41c | 637$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.42 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 37c | 584.08$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.11 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 64c | 554.92$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.96 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3d…7de0backed Yes | 77c | 510.21$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.65 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -62%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee3…6862backed Yes | 76c | 414.99$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 73cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 69c | 198.72$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.16 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 64c | 149.84$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.46 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Yes | 24c | 147.89$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.4 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 63c | 146.77$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.47 | 84 | 29.8%25 W · 59 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be3…48dfbacked Yes | 76c | 140.3$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x355b…18ecbacked Yes | 70c | 140.29$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.09 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Yes | 62c | 102.61$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.99 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -5.6wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 73c | 96.3$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.3 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 25c | 95.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.63 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 63c | 95.2$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.53 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 80c | 90$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc285…d26ebacked Yes | 27c | 88.54$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.63 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 74c | 78.42$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.03 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 74c | 72.19$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.42 | 138 | 60.1%83 W · 55 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 69c | 66.24$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.72 | 260 | 60.8%158 W · 102 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed No | 69c | 66.24$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.72 | 133 | 60.2%80 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked No | 28c | 66.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 105 | 24.8%26 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 36c | 59.62$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…4616backed Yes | 35c | 57.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.48 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 27cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Yes | 43c | 56.15$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.01 | 104 | 61.5%64 W · 40 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a9…d58bbacked Yes | 52c | 56.03$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.89 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 62c | 50.75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.28 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes | 25c | 45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 47c | 39.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 71c | 38.75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.58 | 322 | 59.3%191 W · 131 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 29c | 34.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33eb…b07ebacked Yes | 74c | 26.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 60c | 20.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 256 | 53.1%136 W · 120 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked No | 60c | 20.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 60c | 20.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 306 | 56.2%172 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked No | 80c | 18.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 192 | 65.1%125 W · 67 L | +13.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 71c | 18.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AVS Futebol vs. Vitória SC end in a draw?this page
- Will AVS Futebol win on 2026-04-11?No won
- Will Vitória SC win on 2026-04-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.