Fifa International · resolved market
Algeria vs. Uruguay: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc127d0310d193dc414dc2ba5a6e049e6761770483347ba8f63a9aaa220c128dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,308
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,282
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,308 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 35c | 1,552$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.76 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 64c | 1,299$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.07 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 68c | 1,213$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.67 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Over | 31c | 1,013$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.75 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…b624backed Over | 32c | 982.45$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.38 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 15c | 540.13$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.15 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 42c | 506.78$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.84 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 32c | 374.82$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.88 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…02b4backed Over | 68c | 367.62$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 68c | 294.42$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 51c | 289.2$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.13 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 68c | 281.39$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.39 | 351 | 50.7%178 W · 173 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 58c | 199.97$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.98 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…c208backed Over | 63c | 157.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.52 | 190 | 47.9%91 W · 99 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 47c | 129.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.69 | 504 | 50.2%253 W · 251 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 32c | 126.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.57 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 32c | 125.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.67 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Over | 19c | 106.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 153 | 41.2%63 W · 90 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 159 | 45.3%72 W · 87 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Under | 68c | 82.35$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 67c | 82$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.06 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +5.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 71c | 81$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.67 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9311…1f50backed Over | 61c | 73.47$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc1…580fbacked Under | 67c | 64.4$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +8.6wins | +0.15per pick | 34cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c8…0743backed Over | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 40c | 50.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 51c | 49.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…2777backed Over | 68c | 44.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -6.7wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8c49…26a5backed Over | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 30c | 42.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 31c | 41.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cc…2e39backed Over | 68c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 102 | 65.7%67 W · 35 L | +11.2wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Under | 36c | 37.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 36c | 35.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.53 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Under | 68c | 30.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a9…a428backed Over | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Under | 71c | 20.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.91 | 177 | 60.5%107 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdefb…79afbacked Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x221e…7137backed Over | 69c | 15.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Algeria vs. Uruguay: O/U 1.5this page
- Algeria vs. Uruguay: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Algeria vs. Uruguay: O/U 2.5Under won
- Algeria vs. Uruguay: O/U 3.5Under won
- Algeria vs. Uruguay: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Algeria (-2.5)Uruguay won
- Spread: Uruguay (-1.5)Algeria won
- Spread: Uruguay (-2.5)Algeria won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.