CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Ursa - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc12be37c2d31ce9b99ab81952bea2c473d656b53f82232ca436de10f94802a8a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BetBoom Teamof BetBoom Team, Ursa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,469
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,670
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,469 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked BetBoom Team | 75c | 2,597$1,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.97 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Ursa | 19c | 1,405$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.9 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…55aebacked BetBoom Team | 51c | 1,380$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.42 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Ursa | 55c | 1,120$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.1 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x064e…4347backed Ursa | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked BetBoom Team | 41c | 554$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.91 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…514cbacked BetBoom Team | 30c | 539.26$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.26 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb6d…942cbacked Ursa | 52c | 499.99$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed BetBoom Team | 51c | 432.33$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.17 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Ursa | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 398 | 51.3%204 W · 194 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Ursa | 34c | 350$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 463 | 45.6%211 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb855…3332backed Ursa | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 98 | 32.7%32 W · 66 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33f1…7a59backed Ursa | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Ursa | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05dd…305cbacked Ursa | 20c | 86.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Ursa | 34c | 64.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce70…0be2backed Ursa | 20c | 54.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…993dbacked Ursa | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x828c…fb4cbacked Ursa | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedaa…89b4backed BetBoom Team | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 245 | 35.9%88 W · 157 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed BetBoom Team | 72c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 388 | 68.3%265 W · 123 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4d…1a07backed Ursa | 70c | 17.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Ursa - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Ursa (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier PlayoffsBetBoom Team won
- Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Ursa - Map 2 WinnerBetBoom Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.