CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Ursa (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5bbacdea0fab711f4046c35ae72bb28f37e865e57b0071d14dcefb90779b094b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BetBoom Teamof BetBoom Team, Ursa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,998
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,782
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,998 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbec7…5977backed BetBoom Team | 78c | 10,000$7,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Ursa | 22c | 5,982$1,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,316 | 205 | 39.5%81 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Ursa | 20c | 4,000$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.14 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Ursa | 0c | 3,755$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb23e…6577backed BetBoom Team | 69c | 3,473$2,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Ursa | 20c | 1,440$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.35 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f04…1d79backed Ursa | 11c | 1,374$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.1 | 120 | 21.7%26 W · 94 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Ursa | 22c | 992.63$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.38 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked BetBoom Team | 78c | 970.67$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.34 | 409 | 50.6%207 W · 202 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Ursa | 31c | 838.07$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.11 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked BetBoom Team | 75c | 748.23$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.35 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Ursa | 32c | 518.65$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.59 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Ursa | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 398 | 51.3%204 W · 194 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed Ursa | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9a01backed Ursa | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 439 | 33.7%148 W · 291 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Ursa | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 386 | 36%139 W · 247 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x728a…a75cbacked Ursa | 23c | 170$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.9 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Ursa | 22c | 150$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 436 | 40.6%177 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc967…5a9cbacked Ursa | 18c | 140.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf4f…bdc8backed Ursa | 33c | 125.19$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36e1…2a56backed Ursa | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe71c…0d30backed Ursa | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbe…03c5backed Ursa | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +68%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x02d7…0c39backed Ursa | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 145 | 33.1%48 W · 97 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7a…7181backed Ursa | 36c | 97.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked Ursa | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked BetBoom Team | 77c | 57$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked BetBoom Team | 68c | 55$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Ursa | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Ursa | 30c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 194 | 42.8%83 W · 111 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bf…dc6dbacked BetBoom Team | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked BetBoom Team | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed BetBoom Team | 78c | 39.71$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xea5e…70e6backed BetBoom Team | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5be2…8fa3backed BetBoom Team | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 217 | 62.7%136 W · 81 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…97b4backed BetBoom Team | 68c | 17.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 471 | 65.2%307 W · 164 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Ursa (BO3) - IEM Rio: Global Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Ursa - Map 1 WinnerBetBoom Team won
- Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Ursa - Map 2 WinnerBetBoom Team won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.