TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Miami Open: Shuai Zhang vs Sorana Cirstea

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sorana Cirsteaof Shuai Zhang, Sorana Cirstea
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$189,865

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $189,865 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xeddf…913ebacked Shuai Zhang0c82,710$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Shuai Zhang1c9,970$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.942,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa82a…a759backed Sorana Cirstea75c7,994$6,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,980.3233955.2%187 W · 152 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Shuai Zhang4c7,428$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.118,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4ee…47c8backed Sorana Cirstea77c4,922$3,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,133.4720261.4%124 W · 78 L+11.4wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Shuai Zhang26c4,569$1,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,193.771,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Shuai Zhang0c4,088$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.652,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Shuai Zhang22c3,769$844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$844.277,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Sorana Cirstea78c2,425$1,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.826,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Shuai Zhang23c1,324$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.4830530.8%94 W · 211 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x246b…fb5bbacked Sorana Cirstea77c1,299$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.854362.8%27 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Shuai Zhang24c1,250$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30026853.7%144 W · 124 L+18.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe255…04e8backed Shuai Zhang18c1,224$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.32425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-51%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Shuai Zhang1c1,200$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.82550.8%2 W · 253 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-68.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x400d…e759backed Sorana Cirstea71c970$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.360856.6%344 W · 264 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Shuai Zhang25c943$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.2821338.5%82 W · 131 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x803f…b6b3backed Shuai Zhang12c808.33$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974119.5%8 W · 33 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Shuai Zhang26c800$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.941,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Shuai Zhang28c675.17$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.869,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Sorana Cirstea75c666.66$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.662,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Shuai Zhang23c652.17$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x152e…8285backed Sorana Cirstea75c532.19$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.191883.3%15 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick73cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Shuai Zhang24c507.76$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.611,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf23a…df6fbacked Shuai Zhang15c499.98$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7451252.1%267 W · 245 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Shuai Zhang16c493.66$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.42,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ab0…ddd0backed Shuai Zhang22c445.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007064.3%45 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Shuai Zhang25c420$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1052,22945%1,002 W · 1,227 L+3.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Shuai Zhang25c407.21$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.7346932%150 W · 319 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08c1…7fbebacked Shuai Zhang28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028247.9%135 W · 147 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Shuai Zhang23c338.45$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.842,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x192c…b6cdbacked Sorana Cirstea75c295.15$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.793053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58e4…73f9backed Shuai Zhang21c281.45$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6030741.7%128 W · 179 L-1.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Shuai Zhang29c266$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.0826941.3%111 W · 158 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Shuai Zhang24c249.99$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa446…d9c6backed Sorana Cirstea72c249.6$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.8915354.2%83 W · 70 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Shuai Zhang24c237.42$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.112,76153.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Shuai Zhang25c226.36$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.8995846.6%446 W · 512 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Shuai Zhang24c217.5$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.21,44438%548 W · 896 L-46.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Shuai Zhang29c216$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.6473745.2%333 W · 404 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Shuai Zhang18c211.28$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.586,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7842…4d91backed Shuai Zhang19c200$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3811927.7%33 W · 86 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick25cpaid-13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Shuai Zhang25c197.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5031643%136 W · 180 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Shuai Zhang26c189.68$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5072132%231 W · 490 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Shuai Zhang27c183.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5236333.9%123 W · 240 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa41f…6100backed Shuai Zhang26c170$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.511234.8%39 W · 73 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Shuai Zhang26c153.85$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Shuai Zhang29c153$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.7297046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Shuai Zhang24c150$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Sorana Cirstea75c133$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.2538268.1%260 W · 122 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x21b8…e260backed Shuai Zhang25c131.4$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.855933.9%20 W · 39 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Sorana Cirstea74c130$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.81,07655.5%597 W · 479 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Shuai Zhang25c112.18$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.322,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Shuai Zhang26c104$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.041,58847%746 W · 842 L-24.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Shuai Zhang28c103.57$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2967836%244 W · 434 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Shuai Zhang24c100.8$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.293,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Shuai Zhang24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2442353.7%227 W · 196 L-1.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11ab…7ad1backed Shuai Zhang26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2615734.4%54 W · 103 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38df…4609backed Shuai Zhang25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254736.2%17 W · 30 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca81…f2abbacked Shuai Zhang24c99.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.514746.3%68 W · 79 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9c3…079fbacked Sorana Cirstea72c90$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.289364.4%575 W · 318 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d80…6326backed Shuai Zhang24c85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.42166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.0wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+18.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf9e4…24c2backed Sorana Cirstea75c80$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2026759.6%159 W · 108 L-1.2wins0.00per pick60cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Shuai Zhang23c69.13$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.897,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58f2…692ebacked Sorana Cirstea75c67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7553457.7%308 W · 226 L-0.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd52…07aabacked Sorana Cirstea75c66.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6716762.9%105 W · 62 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc45…2957backed Sorana Cirstea75c66.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.674862.5%30 W · 18 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b89…98d6backed Sorana Cirstea75c66.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6638866.2%257 W · 131 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61af…aa01backed Sorana Cirstea78c62$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4433364.9%216 W · 117 L-19.4wins-0.06per pick71cpaid-9.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Sorana Cirstea74c61$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.167,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3578…f163backed Sorana Cirstea75c60$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1539872.4%288 W · 110 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0624…801ebacked Shuai Zhang26c57.69$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1550%0 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked Shuai Zhang23c53$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1952854.9%290 W · 238 L+20.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c17…0458backed Shuai Zhang25c44.76$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.192347.8%11 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+25.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x751b…90fbbacked Sorana Cirstea77c42.86$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8620758%120 W · 87 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb56b…7150backed Sorana Cirstea75c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1016564.8%107 W · 58 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked Sorana Cirstea72c40$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.247453.2%252 W · 222 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfacd…d470backed Sorana Cirstea75c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.521072.4%152 W · 58 L+0.8wins0.00per pick72cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec10…4d93backed Sorana Cirstea75c26.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.677263.9%46 W · 26 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9e9…0aa5backed Sorana Cirstea75c26.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.673161.3%19 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Sorana Cirstea73c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.7530452%158 W · 146 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe856…4711backed Sorana Cirstea77c22.1$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.081662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb82a…ef47backed Sorana Cirstea76c20.95$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.031464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ea…42e8backed Sorana Cirstea72c18$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.0489859.7%536 W · 362 L+2.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4884…f519backed Sorana Cirstea64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.631963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x449e…4f8ebacked Sorana Cirstea75c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.7513556.3%76 W · 59 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.