Tennis · resolved market
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alexander Zverev vs. Lorenzo Musetti
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc218d4241afb27751d5fbfed890769292897a8e1baff9b530d1d2f1dceb36ff9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Musettiof Zverev, Musetti
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,957
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,591
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,957 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Zverev | 51c | 20,816$10,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,622.96 | 391 | 44.2%173 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed Musetti | 45c | 12,004$5,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,602.2 | 80 | 23.8%19 W · 61 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc814…dc7cbacked Musetti | 54c | 10,000$5,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,602.84 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…612abacked Zverev | 46c | 3,500$1,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,593.22 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Zverev | 49c | 2,288$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113.71 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Zverev | 47c | 2,001$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.9 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Zverev | 36c | 1,708$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.92 | 91 | 30.8%28 W · 63 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Musetti | 45c | 1,700$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.08 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Musetti | 38c | 1,437$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.67 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…8687backed Musetti | 40c | 1,259$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.35 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Zverev | 52c | 1,033$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.91 | 231 | 52.4%121 W · 110 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…26ecbacked Zverev | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Zverev | 54c | 589.31$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.98 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05c2…3888backed Musetti | 40c | 570$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0457…7f94backed Musetti | 40c | 485$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02e4…7793backed Zverev | 60c | 475$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab4…9464backed Musetti | 38c | 430$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Musetti | 47c | 424.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.87 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x482b…34acbacked Musetti | 38c | 400$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23d1…dee6backed Zverev | 26c | 400$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97ba…ea64backed Musetti | 40c | 375$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Musetti | 55c | 359.9$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 381 | 47%179 W · 202 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Zverev | 31c | 352$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.04 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x561e…fbe9backed Zverev | 60c | 335$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35ab…fc89backed Zverev | 60c | 330$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2d…95d2backed Zverev | 60c | 330$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadd2…a46fbacked Zverev | 60c | 330$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa793…e8babacked Zverev | 62c | 325$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Musetti | 33c | 306.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.06 | 383 | 48%184 W · 199 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Zverev | 55c | 298.73$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.91 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e11…9bacbacked Musetti | 40c | 294.32$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.59 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…7220backed Musetti | 40c | 285$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Zverev | 64c | 282.25$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c42…5233backed Zverev | 62c | 275$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 66cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…7c5abacked Musetti | 39c | 234.82$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.24 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Musetti | 43c | 231.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.89 | 480 | 43.3%208 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Zverev | 55c | 227.75$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.1 | 316 | 50%158 W · 158 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda13…0458backed Zverev | 62c | 215$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Zverev | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 149 | 33.6%50 W · 99 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc013…554bbacked Musetti | 38c | 165$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Zverev | 49c | 157$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.53 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8775…c4aebacked Zverev | 62c | 145$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…f8c4backed Musetti | 41c | 144.9$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +82%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e59…2405backed Musetti | 40c | 140$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +105.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Musetti | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f33…b313backed Zverev | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03d0…9424backed Zverev | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 65cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x663e…5916backed Zverev | 60c | 95$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a5…9f24backed Musetti | 40c | 95$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Zverev | 35c | 94.29$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 159 | 61%97 W · 62 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Musetti | 41c | 85.39$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.39 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97df…3088backed Musetti | 47c | 81.04$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Zverev | 58c | 80.6$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.75 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57c3…3201backed Zverev | 61c | 57.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 189 | 57.7%109 W · 80 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35c7…65c1backed Musetti | 42c | 40.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a9…61c7backed Musetti | 42c | 40.12$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x420e…e3c9backed Zverev | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 122 | 56.6%69 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Zverev | 59c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1f…aa3dbacked Zverev | 46c | 39.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Zverev | 55c | 36.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Zverev | 59c | 35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0e…e56bbacked Musetti | 39c | 33.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd652…c035backed Zverev | 59c | 32.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87cb…374dbacked Zverev | 59c | 32.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Zverev | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 251 | 52.6%132 W · 119 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Musetti | 40c | 30.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 437 | 49%214 W · 223 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd975…0a3ebacked Musetti | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ccd…b2b5backed Musetti | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +97.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.