Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Colorado State Rams vs. San Diego State Aztecs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc24f065eb3f9bf2fe2a64cde0b421decc71e2bcd0c0b1be0e82e5e2cabb8519a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Diego State Aztecsof Colorado State Rams, San Diego State Aztecs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,162
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,162 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3817…7d10backed San Diego State Aztecs | 71c | 3,939$2,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.22 | 298 | 45.3%135 W · 163 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Colorado State Rams | 28c | 3,333$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.34 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Colorado State Rams | 19c | 3,203$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.79 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Colorado State Rams | 29c | 2,458$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.63 | 493 | 45.4%224 W · 269 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Colorado State Rams | 18c | 1,395$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.12 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Colorado State Rams | 29c | 856.06$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.2 | 251 | 30.7%77 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked San Diego State Aztecs | 70c | 750$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 269 | 45.7%123 W · 146 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Colorado State Rams | 29c | 555.97$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.53 | 371 | 42.6%158 W · 213 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked San Diego State Aztecs | 70c | 524.42$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.31 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked San Diego State Aztecs | 72c | 496.47$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.16 | 78 | 71.8%56 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked San Diego State Aztecs | 71c | 436.32$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.58 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed San Diego State Aztecs | 74c | 420.37$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.27 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbedd…7605backed Colorado State Rams | 5c | 390.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked San Diego State Aztecs | 79c | 314.56$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.51 | 189 | 54.5%103 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed San Diego State Aztecs | 70c | 307.18$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.48 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Colorado State Rams | 26c | 299.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed San Diego State Aztecs | 68c | 233.28$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.71 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed San Diego State Aztecs | 69c | 230.15$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.35 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Colorado State Rams | 30c | 211.08$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.48 | 252 | 46.4%117 W · 135 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dca…a7acbacked San Diego State Aztecs | 75c | 198.69$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.67 | 252 | 54.8%138 W · 114 L | -15.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Colorado State Rams | 15c | 193.87$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.51 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Colorado State Rams | 28c | 185.65$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.82 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Colorado State Rams | 20c | 183.54$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.42 | 162 | 43.8%71 W · 91 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Colorado State Rams | 29c | 182.57$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.39 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c0f…87c5backed San Diego State Aztecs | 62c | 161.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked San Diego State Aztecs | 72c | 158.6$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.41 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…10c3backed Colorado State Rams | 23c | 152.61$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Colorado State Rams | 29c | 151.89$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.68 | 258 | 37.6%97 W · 161 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Colorado State Rams | 19c | 143.46$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4112…5d9dbacked Colorado State Rams | 28c | 130.11$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.95 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked San Diego State Aztecs | 72c | 119.09$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.81 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed Colorado State Rams | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2097…8b03backed Colorado State Rams | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed San Diego State Aztecs | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 98 | 66.3%65 W · 33 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Colorado State Rams | 28c | 99.29$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed San Diego State Aztecs | 71c | 94.86$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.56 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Colorado State Rams | 40c | 89.36$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.75 | 353 | 38.5%136 W · 217 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Colorado State Rams | 25c | 70.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1736…32f1backed Colorado State Rams | 31c | 69.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.83 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed San Diego State Aztecs | 70c | 61.26$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked San Diego State Aztecs | 71c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Colorado State Rams | 23c | 59.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked San Diego State Aztecs | 72c | 59.16$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 394 | 54.6%215 W · 179 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd12…a7b8backed Colorado State Rams | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked Colorado State Rams | 28c | 49.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf58…711fbacked Colorado State Rams | 31c | 49.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c1…7fbebacked Colorado State Rams | 31c | 49.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 152 | 40.1%61 W · 91 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc62e…108dbacked Colorado State Rams | 25c | 40.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 106 | 38.7%41 W · 65 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb986…d5bfbacked San Diego State Aztecs | 63c | 31.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9c…da16backed San Diego State Aztecs | 68c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.84 | 150 | 66%99 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…4d49backed San Diego State Aztecs | 59c | 16.95$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colorado State Rams vs. San Diego State Aztecsthis page
- Colorado State Rams vs. San Diego State Aztecs: O/U 140.5Under won
- Colorado State Rams vs. San Diego State Aztecs: O/U 141.5Under won
- Colorado State Rams vs. San Diego State Aztecs: O/U 142.5Under won
- Spread: San Diego State Aztecs (-5.5)San Diego State Aztecs won
- Spread: San Diego State Aztecs (-6.5)San Diego State Aztecs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.