MLB · resolved market
KBO: NC Dinos vs. Hanwha Eagles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc25ccbae1b2c35275b8c5e527801dc623ff05d12c67beedb8204c4b66b8853e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NC Dinosof NC Dinos, Hanwha Eagles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,337
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,866
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,337 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked NC Dinos | 52c | 1,551$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.3 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Hanwha Eagles | 22c | 453.22$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.84 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Hanwha Eagles | 39c | 364.27$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.7 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Hanwha Eagles | 45c | 322.42$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.12 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…e628backed Hanwha Eagles | 45c | 300$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…044dbacked Hanwha Eagles | 50c | 253.17$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.89 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc402…83f7backed Hanwha Eagles | 51c | 213.46$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed NC Dinos | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…6f15backed NC Dinos | 63c | 157.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.56 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Hanwha Eagles | 48c | 149.98$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.24 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…aa9dbacked Hanwha Eagles | 12c | 126.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 94 | 24.5%23 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Hanwha Eagles | 42c | 125.63$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.24 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Hanwha Eagles | 45c | 120.89$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.57 | 309 | 34.3%106 W · 203 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c36…c001backed NC Dinos | 56c | 120.36$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.96 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Hanwha Eagles | 51c | 110$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.32 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Hanwha Eagles | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed NC Dinos | 77c | 95.55$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.44 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Hanwha Eagles | 45c | 93.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.52 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37f1…19a0backed NC Dinos | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed NC Dinos | 52c | 84.54$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9865…f6afbacked Hanwha Eagles | 16c | 81.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 310 | 32.9%102 W · 208 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Hanwha Eagles | 27c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed NC Dinos | 79c | 75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked NC Dinos | 52c | 69.23$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.23 | 808 | 55.3%447 W · 361 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Hanwha Eagles | 45c | 69.07$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa89…ccd2backed Hanwha Eagles | 48c | 60.42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Hanwha Eagles | 46c | 52.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 590 | 38.8%229 W · 361 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked NC Dinos | 51c | 50.75$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.87 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1330…b4b5backed Hanwha Eagles | 46c | 49.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed NC Dinos | 66c | 49$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 166 | 61.4%102 W · 64 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked NC Dinos | 49c | 48.56$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.77 | 340 | 44.4%151 W · 189 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Hanwha Eagles | 51c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed NC Dinos | 77c | 37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 570 | 46.8%267 W · 303 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked NC Dinos | 60c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd25a…7f71backed NC Dinos | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +11.4wins | +0.26per pick | 42cpaid | +92%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed NC Dinos | 59c | 28.82$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 292 | 56.5%165 W · 127 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked NC Dinos | 54c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 236 | 47%111 W · 125 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3d…f2ffbacked Hanwha Eagles | 47c | 23.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 119 | 33.6%40 W · 79 L | -10.2wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1bef…5f5dbacked NC Dinos | 71c | 23.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.73 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54f7…31d9backed Hanwha Eagles | 50c | 21.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf24…e995backed NC Dinos | 50c | 21.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb52…79afbacked NC Dinos | 50c | 21.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed41…b11cbacked Hanwha Eagles | 50c | 21.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x170a…c8a9backed NC Dinos | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafc1…31bebacked Hanwha Eagles | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.