CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: illwill vs AM Gaming (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2e4252bdeecb71a27c02fdd72d621ca8924dc55eea022ed37ab716d0c995730
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- illwillof illwill, AM Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,507
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,419
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,507 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa02b…70d6backed AM Gaming | 23c | 3,283$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.75 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | +27.9wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +47%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked illwill | 77c | 1,351$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.32 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed AM Gaming | 16c | 1,060$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.75 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked AM Gaming | 20c | 1,016$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.25 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed AM Gaming | 38c | 447.19$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.46 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked illwill | 61c | 435.9$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ba…621fbacked AM Gaming | 39c | 402.65$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.03 | 190 | 43.7%83 W · 107 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x766a…ae64backed AM Gaming | 49c | 250$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d30…11f1backed illwill | 51c | 242.65$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.9 | 163 | 50.3%82 W · 81 L | +14.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked AM Gaming | 14c | 239.96$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.71 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…8b14backed AM Gaming | 39c | 237.59$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.48 | 367 | 42.8%157 W · 210 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed illwill | 64c | 205.21$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.19 | 387 | 39.5%153 W · 234 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed AM Gaming | 20c | 180.44$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.82 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed AM Gaming | 20c | 167.68$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.25 | 222 | 53.2%118 W · 104 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed illwill | 66c | 167.05$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.48 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfef…5b77backed AM Gaming | 12c | 155.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed AM Gaming | 22c | 150$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed illwill | 51c | 144.6$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.85 | 282 | 48.9%138 W · 144 L | +21.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked illwill | 65c | 139.55$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.71 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed AM Gaming | 37c | 137.89$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.92 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x757d…1496backed AM Gaming | 36c | 132.25$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.93 | 246 | 49.6%122 W · 124 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked AM Gaming | 20c | 120.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed illwill | 64c | 112.8$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 392 | 45.9%180 W · 212 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaf…064abacked AM Gaming | 14c | 110.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c77…0021backed AM Gaming | 25c | 106$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed AM Gaming | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked AM Gaming | 35c | 99.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked illwill | 62c | 99.76$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.91 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed AM Gaming | 21c | 96.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 269 | 58.4%157 W · 112 L | +20.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed AM Gaming | 34c | 88.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a22…2929backed AM Gaming | 18c | 88.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf40f…8dcfbacked AM Gaming | 53c | 86.81$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.92 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +10.2wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked AM Gaming | 33c | 84.44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.87 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked AM Gaming | 27c | 81.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed AM Gaming | 19c | 74.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked AM Gaming | 28c | 67.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed illwill | 78c | 61$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 180 | 57.2%103 W · 77 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked AM Gaming | 26c | 59.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 295 | 55.3%163 W · 132 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e1…6579backed AM Gaming | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed AM Gaming | 18c | 55.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5229…2befbacked illwill | 57c | 54.31$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.35 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed AM Gaming | 21c | 53.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6033…8a83backed AM Gaming | 34c | 50.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 151 | 33.1%50 W · 101 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed illwill | 69c | 50.14$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.46 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked illwill | 79c | 46.33$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee4…471fbacked AM Gaming | 34c | 45.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 357 | 52.9%189 W · 168 L | +22.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked AM Gaming | 30c | 40.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 190 | 30.5%58 W · 132 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed illwill | 64c | 30.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 517 | 55.9%289 W · 228 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked illwill | 63c | 30.74$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked illwill | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…641bbacked illwill | 66c | 29.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked illwill | 61c | 29.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef49…a2b8backed AM Gaming | 42c | 27.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed illwill | 80c | 24.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…522fbacked illwill | 66c | 22.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5644…2befbacked illwill | 66c | 22.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +172.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3a…f788backed illwill | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 163 | 38.7%63 W · 100 L | -13.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…6ababacked illwill | 80c | 18.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.76 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed illwill | 71c | 18.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.41 | 293 | 47.8%140 W · 153 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…5ec2backed illwill | 63c | 17.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed illwill | 67c | 16.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.38 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacb…03b7backed illwill | 79c | 16.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed illwill | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: illwill vs AM Gaming (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: illwill vs AM Gaming - Map 2 Winnerillwill won
- Map Handicap: ILWL (-1.5) vs AM Gaming (+1.5)illwill won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.