Tennis · resolved market
ITF Grado: Sofia Rocchetti vs Federica Trevisan
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3162bfb07a2146c07f403d3912e235dfd90b100013f9ef9c7bc7cae6ef87b3f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sofia Rocchettiof Sofia Rocchetti, Federica Trevisan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,531
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,667
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,531 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sofia Rocchetti | 77c | 297.43$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.19 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93cb…3485backed Federica Trevisan | 29c | 292.51$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.45 | 306 | 39.9%122 W · 184 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Federica Trevisan | 18c | 141.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f24…e803backed Sofia Rocchetti | 77c | 140$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Federica Trevisan | 24c | 126.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.18 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6200…7d23backed Federica Trevisan | 29c | 73.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Sofia Rocchetti | 74c | 72.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.98 | 893 | 64.4%575 W · 318 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Federica Trevisan | 48c | 67.87$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.66 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0813…41e1backed Sofia Rocchetti | 74c | 56$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 371 | 58.8%218 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfee…67b9backed Federica Trevisan | 22c | 46.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b35…51b3backed Sofia Rocchetti | 72c | 45.46$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 353 | 60.9%215 W · 138 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cee…bd00backed Sofia Rocchetti | 72c | 39$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Sofia Rocchetti | 72c | 29.27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…3b76backed Sofia Rocchetti | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70f7…d7debacked Sofia Rocchetti | 58c | 20.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Sofia Rocchetti | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Sofia Rocchetti | 73c | 15.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.