Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: CGN Esports vs FOKUS - Map 3 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3477757755ca913793e6a57432e1896b97fabbb01945cf0f694aaf191c3b19f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FOKUSof CGN Esports, FOKUS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,478
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,537
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,478 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xff34…694bbacked FOKUS | 68c | 1,259$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.57 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked CGN Esports | 20c | 639.4$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.83 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked CGN Esports | 54c | 422.82$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.32 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bee…e55cbacked CGN Esports | 72c | 386.09$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.66 | 182 | 61%111 W · 71 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked CGN Esports | 33c | 377.31$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.04 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked FOKUS | 53c | 303.85$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.6 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed FOKUS | 46c | 172.83$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.33 | 391 | 66%258 W · 133 L | +24.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x050e…d92fbacked FOKUS | 77c | 130.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.26 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked FOKUS | 47c | 116.04$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.44 | 420 | 51.9%218 W · 202 L | -21.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed CGN Esports | 43c | 107.96$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.72 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked CGN Esports | 21c | 93.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed CGN Esports | 31c | 74.84$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 664 | 38.1%253 W · 411 L | -31.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked CGN Esports | 36c | 68.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.54 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed FOKUS | 58c | 65$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.05 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed FOKUS | 53c | 58$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.38 | 264 | 36%95 W · 169 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked CGN Esports | 60c | 50.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 273 | 60.1%164 W · 109 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed FOKUS | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed CGN Esports | 57c | 42.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 115 | 64.3%74 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed CGN Esports | 47c | 26.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed FOKUS | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed FOKUS | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: CGN Esports vs FOKUS - Map 3 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: CGN Esports vs FOKUS (BO5) - VCL DACH: Evolution PlayoffsCGN Esports won
- Valorant: CGN Esports vs FOKUS - Map 1 WinnerCGN Esports won
- Valorant: CGN Esports vs FOKUS - Map 2 WinnerCGN Esports won
- Valorant: CGN Esports vs FOKUS - Map 4 WinnerFOKUS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.