Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: CGN Esports vs FOKUS - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4b67559432e0fd6f522caf3af52cbce8d8d9a1fa0e09e0bc194555e5c596601
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CGN Esportsof CGN Esports, FOKUS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,163
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,266
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,163 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xff34…694bbacked CGN Esports | 61c | 1,041$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.71 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked FOKUS | 42c | 793.15$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.35 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked FOKUS | 57c | 417$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.9 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked FOKUS | 37c | 249.9$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.64 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked CGN Esports | 59c | 187.47$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.48 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed CGN Esports | 55c | 130.97$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed FOKUS | 23c | 129.15$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked FOKUS | 38c | 121$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed FOKUS | 46c | 111.71$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.26 | 247 | 51.8%128 W · 119 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked FOKUS | 50c | 102$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 248 | 46%114 W · 134 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed CGN Esports | 50c | 102$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked FOKUS | 57c | 99.75$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 420 | 51.9%218 W · 202 L | -21.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed CGN Esports | 70c | 93$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.57 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed FOKUS | 34c | 87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.95 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…a0cabacked FOKUS | 29c | 81.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bee…e55cbacked CGN Esports | 71c | 81.69$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.69 | 182 | 61%111 W · 71 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed CGN Esports | 70c | 59.1$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 322 | 61.5%198 W · 124 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed CGN Esports | 68c | 56$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.07 | 264 | 36%95 W · 169 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed CGN Esports | 55c | 54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.22 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…7406backed FOKUS | 37c | 30.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked FOKUS | 45c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1991…348ebacked FOKUS | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed FOKUS | 56c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 664 | 38.1%253 W · 411 L | -31.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed CGN Esports | 53c | 25.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6161…c834backed CGN Esports | 45c | 24.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7a6bbacked CGN Esports | 80c | 17.55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.51 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: CGN Esports vs FOKUS - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: CGN Esports vs FOKUS (BO5) - VCL DACH: Evolution PlayoffsCGN Esports won
- Valorant: CGN Esports vs FOKUS - Map 1 WinnerCGN Esports won
- Valorant: CGN Esports vs FOKUS - Map 3 WinnerFOKUS won
- Valorant: CGN Esports vs FOKUS - Map 4 WinnerFOKUS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.