Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Stray Kittens vs LAZER (BO3) - VCL Latin America North: Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc362a16fbea2c927d33174f16666beea0906e880a0d9f9f69041eb2f3b5504f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LAZERof Stray Kittens, LAZER
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,988
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,654
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,988 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x31ab…20e9backed LAZER | 78c | 577.89$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.89 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ec…64b6backed Stray Kittens | 20c | 466.69$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.87 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed LAZER | 76c | 453.9$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.91 | 66 | 72.7%48 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35f0…971ebacked Stray Kittens | 33c | 235.84$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.95 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Stray Kittens | 5c | 224$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Stray Kittens | 10c | 200.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x41b1…df57backed Stray Kittens | 15c | 194.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked LAZER | 68c | 193.12$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.88 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Stray Kittens | 35c | 183.38$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.03 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed LAZER | 65c | 181.71$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.51 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…7e67backed Stray Kittens | 30c | 151.63$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.77 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x218b…625abacked Stray Kittens | 26c | 148.65$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.65 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 31cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked LAZER | 73c | 141$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.43 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked LAZER | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 628 | 56.4%354 W · 274 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ca…8f43backed Stray Kittens | 33c | 122$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.26 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6add…6992backed Stray Kittens | 42c | 117.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99ad…fa27backed Stray Kittens | 39c | 102.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6b…b245backed Stray Kittens | 59c | 101.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked LAZER | 70c | 92.22$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.61 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…13dabacked Stray Kittens | 33c | 70$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb3…9e69backed LAZER | 63c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed LAZER | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked LAZER | 58c | 25.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Stray Kittens | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 202 | 48.5%98 W · 104 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d5…2c23backed LAZER | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.1 | 113 | 67.3%76 W · 37 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.