Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Esprit Shōnen vs Joblife (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3718cebb0ad78e90410d68a715d55794e981be2239f5a9e8569a449972b66a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Esprit Shōnenof Esprit Shōnen, Joblife
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,057
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,251
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,057 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Joblife | 56c | 5,456$3,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,080.15 | 324 | 62.7%203 W · 121 L | +31.7wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Joblife | 46c | 3,334$1,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,549.24 | 301 | 47.2%142 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Joblife | 44c | 3,295$1,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,463.22 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Esprit Shōnen | 48c | 2,469$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.45 | 425 | 40.5%172 W · 253 L | -22.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Esprit Shōnen | 49c | 2,376$1,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,214.79 | 777 | 44%342 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88ba…b99abacked Joblife | 26c | 1,086$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.6 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Esprit Shōnen | 43c | 1,055$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.36 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Esprit Shōnen | 43c | 1,046$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.88 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…b9bbbacked Esprit Shōnen | 42c | 921.48$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.11 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Joblife | 64c | 710.47$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.16 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Esprit Shōnen | 48c | 641.98$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.71 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Joblife | 53c | 584.54$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.29 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Esprit Shōnen | 38c | 557.24$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.24 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Esprit Shōnen | 54c | 454.5$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.81 | 312 | 27.6%86 W · 226 L | -33.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Joblife | 14c | 304.94$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.24 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Joblife | 42c | 304.12$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.03 | 347 | 39.8%138 W · 209 L | -13.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Joblife | 71c | 293.97$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.46 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…e543backed Esprit Shōnen | 49c | 233.33$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.67 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef9c…7b3fbacked Joblife | 20c | 217.19$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.35 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Esprit Shōnen | 54c | 185.07$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.4 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3e…5d9dbacked Esprit Shōnen | 16c | 182.36$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.19 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 33cpaid | +152.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Joblife | 77c | 169.63$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.61 | 450 | 33.8%152 W · 298 L | -35.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Esprit Shōnen | 63c | 165.02$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.67 | 308 | 35.4%109 W · 199 L | -23.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Joblife | 28c | 154.83$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…7406backed Esprit Shōnen | 31c | 122.94$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.24 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Esprit Shōnen | 48c | 110.44$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.93 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Esprit Shōnen | 12c | 100$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Esprit Shōnen | 76c | 83$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.23 | 269 | 32.3%87 W · 182 L | -25.7wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Esprit Shōnen | 43c | 76.63$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.67 | 196 | 61.7%121 W · 75 L | +20.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Esprit Shōnen | 36c | 75.25$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.16 | 664 | 38.1%253 W · 411 L | -31.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked Joblife | 73c | 68.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.76 | 157 | 54.1%85 W · 72 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d4c…935ebacked Joblife | 57c | 65.27$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…4a35backed Esprit Shōnen | 30c | 61.52$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.23 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed Esprit Shōnen | 42c | 56.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.87 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed Joblife | 51c | 53.57$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.37 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1791…3e87backed Esprit Shōnen | 20c | 52.34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 247 | 51.8%128 W · 119 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Esprit Shōnen | 52c | 47.69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.89 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb1…c96ebacked Joblife | 48c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f8…6ef8backed Joblife | 67c | 29.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Esprit Shōnen | 36c | 27.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.78 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…a479backed Joblife | 62c | 23.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -13.0wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed Joblife | 54c | 19.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 438 | 43.6%191 W · 247 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b8…ab1fbacked Joblife | 75c | 16.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Esprit Shōnen vs Joblife (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Regular Seasonthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: Esprit Shōnen vs Joblife - Map 1 WinnerEsprit Shōnen won
- Valorant: Esprit Shōnen vs Joblife - Map 2 WinnerEsprit Shōnen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.