CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs Vexar - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3a931ced922d98110c4b95b85ad4caeae1e2981bc8a9dee862c4804f7be9d49
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vexarof Falcons Force, Vexar
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,269
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,490
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,269 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x347d…8165backed Vexar | 66c | 2,783$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.62 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd081…306bbacked Falcons Force | 34c | 2,600$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.99 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…3dddbacked Falcons Force | 43c | 2,235$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.11 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.1wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Falcons Force | 41c | 1,564$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.01 | 420 | 37.9%159 W · 261 L | -17.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed Vexar | 61c | 1,320$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.12 | 414 | 50.7%210 W · 204 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee0…9340backed Vexar | 64c | 1,017$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.48 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +73.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Falcons Force | 42c | 969.69$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.1 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf186…03a9backed Vexar | 53c | 922.7$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.03 | 224 | 52.2%117 W · 107 L | +20.6wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Falcons Force | 40c | 784.8$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.06 | 395 | 53.7%212 W · 183 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6445…5213backed Vexar | 62c | 748.39$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.07 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +7.2wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0f59backed Vexar | 61c | 528.7$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.35 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbadb…31a7backed Vexar | 59c | 473.01$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.84 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35d…102abacked Falcons Force | 27c | 455.67$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…7db2backed Vexar | 51c | 443.26$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.2 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +4.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ac87backed Vexar | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x984f…9a43backed Vexar | 60c | 390.46$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.86 | 89 | 70.8%63 W · 26 L | +19.3wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +46%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xc28f…6193backed Falcons Force | 48c | 375.07$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.63 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45cc…bea1backed Vexar | 52c | 361.02$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.29 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +97.8%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9e…bb7fbacked Vexar | 53c | 350.42$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.71 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0975…0899backed Falcons Force | 33c | 299.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Falcons Force | 49c | 296$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.92 | 2,393 | 46.7%1,118 W · 1,275 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07e8…faaebacked Vexar | 66c | 274.41$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.18 | 176 | 50.6%89 W · 87 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Falcons Force | 23c | 269$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.55 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe54e…4a99backed Vexar | 66c | 262.38$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.11 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Falcons Force | 19c | 256.72$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.39 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Falcons Force | 42c | 220$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.73 | 505 | 48.1%243 W · 262 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f28…f789backed Falcons Force | 49c | 212.61$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Falcons Force | 46c | 208$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.81 | 1,121 | 42.5%476 W · 645 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Falcons Force | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 503 | 41.6%209 W · 294 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed Vexar | 50c | 199.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 330 | 50%165 W · 165 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x903c…02febacked Falcons Force | 43c | 160.4$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.68 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf4b…59acbacked Vexar | 63c | 157.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.92 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 64cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Falcons Force | 38c | 148.37$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.44 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216e…65bcbacked Falcons Force | 36c | 143.53$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaec3…babcbacked Falcons Force | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x824a…3952backed Vexar | 55c | 120$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.75 | 146 | 39.7%58 W · 88 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…450abacked Vexar | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…3467backed Vexar | 76c | 99.64$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Falcons Force | 30c | 92.82$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.11 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe3bb…476ebacked Vexar | 53c | 79.25$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Falcons Force | 20c | 71.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 2,530 | 34.6%876 W · 1,654 L | -193.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf01b…b282backed Falcons Force | 38c | 59.37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d4…0289backed Falcons Force | 49c | 53.27$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 177 | 46.3%82 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x050e…d92fbacked Vexar | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 226 | 58%131 W · 95 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67f6…1651backed Vexar | 59c | 42.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.06 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…3f90backed Falcons Force | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Vexar | 58c | 37.41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 1,142 | 54.4%621 W · 521 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb1…6c8fbacked Vexar | 68c | 31.89$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda33…cd9abacked Vexar | 63c | 31.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d89…08f8backed Falcons Force | 38c | 30.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b1…81b5backed Falcons Force | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd396…442cbacked Vexar | 62c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Vexar | 61c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 238 | 47.9%114 W · 124 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x395a…eb72backed Vexar | 55c | 21.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 89 | 73%65 W · 24 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8e…ce7dbacked Vexar | 55c | 20.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 42 | 73.8%31 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…4737backed Vexar | 61c | 20.01$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 129 | 77.5%100 W · 29 L | +13.1wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa53…2439backed Vexar | 79c | 18.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.94 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72a3…1753backed Vexar | 60c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs Vexar - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs Vexar (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group StageVexar won
- Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs Vexar - Map 1 WinnerFalcons Force won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.