CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs Vexar - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ba8ad983dd0847ee86b5dd50907a147c31ef0286e66df06ce16c95649866861
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Falcons Forceof Falcons Force, Vexar
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,893
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $55,748
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,893 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x347d…8165backed Falcons Force | 57c | 3,778$2,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,632.88 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7759…4ea4backed Vexar | 45c | 3,426$1,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,554.29 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6b…acabbacked Vexar | 17c | 2,005$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.93 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Vexar | 41c | 1,968$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.63 | 420 | 37.9%159 W · 261 L | -17.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9e…bb7fbacked Falcons Force | 52c | 1,715$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.48 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5364…4ed0backed Falcons Force | 54c | 1,576$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.51 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Vexar | 75c | 1,526$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.71 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Vexar | 44c | 1,470$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.21 | 2,393 | 46.7%1,118 W · 1,275 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd081…306bbacked Falcons Force | 37c | 1,305$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.74 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeee0…9340backed Falcons Force | 58c | 819.87$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.4 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +73.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf186…03a9backed Falcons Force | 38c | 805.38$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.62 | 224 | 52.2%117 W · 107 L | +20.6wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…f2d0backed Falcons Force | 54c | 696.28$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.05 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed Vexar | 55c | 669.51$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.34 | 330 | 50%165 W · 165 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x060f…7eeebacked Vexar | 39c | 599.9$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.75 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd544…4994backed Falcons Force | 53c | 547.97$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.54 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1c…6383backed Falcons Force | 57c | 547.81$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.47 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +29%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0975…0899backed Falcons Force | 76c | 543.26$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.82 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x792c…d2ecbacked Falcons Force | 50c | 500$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.03 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +5.7wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed Vexar | 49c | 479.99$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.11 | 414 | 50.7%210 W · 204 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07e8…faaebacked Vexar | 53c | 404.04$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.2 | 176 | 50.6%89 W · 87 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54bc…b4e9backed Falcons Force | 60c | 333.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.5 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45cc…bea1backed Falcons Force | 52c | 309.44$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.75 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +97.8%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaaad…29e0backed Falcons Force | 50c | 304.69$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.35 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +4.7wins | +0.36per pick | 48cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…0717backed Falcons Force | 51c | 300.04$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.54 | 310 | 43.9%136 W · 174 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…e928backed Falcons Force | 41c | 281.48$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.43 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +10.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Vexar | 43c | 280$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.14 | 505 | 48.1%243 W · 262 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6445…5213backed Falcons Force | 39c | 274$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.14 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +7.2wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Vexar | 66c | 264.05$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.38 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51e8…ebb7backed Vexar | 63c | 262.69$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb140…ce3dbacked Falcons Force | 59c | 252.83$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.83 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe54e…4a99backed Falcons Force | 70c | 226.87$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.13 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Vexar | 28c | 213.35$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.68 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Vexar | 18c | 205.17$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.52 | 503 | 41.6%209 W · 294 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe0…9e71backed Falcons Force | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.2wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +108.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…450abacked Vexar | 47c | 189.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92c9…1f16backed Falcons Force | 55c | 189$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.73 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb03…ac95backed Vexar | 55c | 186.07$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.07 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…e846backed Falcons Force | 45c | 177.7$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.7 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked Falcons Force | 68c | 162.96$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.15 | 394 | 69.3%273 W · 121 L | +31.6wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6524…5cf2backed Falcons Force | 56c | 161.24$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.82 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6609…4e73backed Vexar | 56c | 159.59$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Vexar | 31c | 157.31$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.77 | 659 | 46.9%309 W · 350 L | +18.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Vexar | 56c | 156.55$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.95 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Vexar | 40c | 150.61$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.52 | 1,051 | 57.2%601 W · 450 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Vexar | 22c | 147.26$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.18 | 2,530 | 34.6%876 W · 1,654 L | -193.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d3…bab9backed Vexar | 64c | 140$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.8 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x903c…02febacked Vexar | 49c | 132.86$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa53…2439backed Vexar | 28c | 128.51$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.78 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…7db2backed Falcons Force | 62c | 104$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.72 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +4.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8f9b…8b23backed Vexar | 17c | 102.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83e0…82abbacked Vexar | 60c | 100.42$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xece5…6de0backed Falcons Force | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 142 | 50%71 W · 71 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00e1…e0d4backed Falcons Force | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 50cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Vexar | 44c | 99.65$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.17 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Falcons Force | 63c | 81.51$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.94 | 238 | 47.9%114 W · 124 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Vexar | 40c | 80.86$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 168 | 49.4%83 W · 85 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…9077backed Vexar | 50c | 78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7460…de6ebacked Vexar | 17c | 73.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Vexar | 25c | 68.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe3bb…476ebacked Vexar | 60c | 65.08$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd326…9ce1backed Vexar | 45c | 63.85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -36%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Falcons Force | 65c | 60.69$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 1,649 | 46.9%774 W · 875 L | -28.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda29…f4b8backed Vexar | 71c | 57.56$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.78 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -4.7wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -34%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbc06…7f72backed Falcons Force | 54c | 54.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.01 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb1…6c8fbacked Falcons Force | 50c | 53.85$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.11 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40c2…aef7backed Vexar | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe53b…fe03backed Falcons Force | 73c | 48.27$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 423 | 71.9%304 W · 119 L | +24.4wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x824a…3952backed Vexar | 37c | 45.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 146 | 39.7%58 W · 88 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Falcons Force | 44c | 42.26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.82 | 1,142 | 54.4%621 W · 521 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Falcons Force | 43c | 41.16$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 618 | 55%340 W · 278 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd30…9a01backed Falcons Force | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 296 | 61.1%181 W · 115 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23df…3df7backed Vexar | 64c | 39.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbadb…31a7backed Falcons Force | 54c | 38.96$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0f59backed Vexar | 45c | 35.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67f6…1651backed Falcons Force | 50c | 21.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x984f…9a43backed Falcons Force | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 89 | 70.8%63 W · 26 L | +19.3wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +46%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xda33…cd9abacked Falcons Force | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs Vexar - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs Vexar (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group StageVexar won
- Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs Vexar - Map 2 WinnerVexar won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.