TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs Vexar (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Vexarof Falcons Force, Vexar
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$153,203
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$195,276

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $153,203 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 223 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x82d2…beeabacked Falcons Force43c10,217$4,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,358.681,02052.2%532 W · 488 L+26.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x347d…8165backed Vexar48c8,443$4,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,391.691080%8 W · 2 L+3.1wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+61.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Falcons Force36c7,451$2,646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,646.1740341.7%168 W · 235 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeee0…9340backed Vexar63c6,074$3,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,265.997100%7 W · 0 L+2.9wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+73.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Falcons Force35c5,679$1,984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,984.351,59429.7%473 W · 1,121 L-88.1wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x03dc…99e1backed Vexar59c5,413$3,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,219.12250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2525…3dddbacked Falcons Force60c4,792$2,852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,852.4160%0 W · 6 L-3.1wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Falcons Force40c4,675$1,855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,855.363,26745.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L-85.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Falcons Force45c3,990$1,788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,788.1442037.9%159 W · 261 L-17.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-25.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbee4…0426backed Vexar64c3,890$2,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,395.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe75d…a961backed Vexar59c3,686$2,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,502.551369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+20%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed Falcons Force43c3,244$1,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,394.981,65252.9%874 W · 778 L+60.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Falcons Force34c3,121$1,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,073.132,66430.8%820 W · 1,844 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Falcons Force38c2,910$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,109.743,54429.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L-289.1wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5779…0fddbacked Falcons Force25c2,724$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683.7720%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe53f…2f56backed Vexar69c2,720$1,873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$847.38875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+54.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x792c…d2ecbacked Vexar55c2,077$1,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$930.143666.7%24 W · 12 L+5.7wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+34.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x984f…9a43backed Vexar59c1,900$1,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$776.728970.8%63 W · 26 L+19.3wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+46%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x6445…5213backed Vexar49c1,857$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$946.592777.8%21 W · 6 L+7.2wins+0.27per pick51cpaid+44.2%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Falcons Force38c1,845$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.423,94936.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L-201.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Falcons Force39c1,794$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.6618754.5%102 W · 85 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x060f…7eeebacked Vexar45c1,676$757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.33666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+21.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1f3…5402backed Vexar68c1,667$1,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5383053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf404…daaabacked Falcons Force39c1,625$626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.1410933%36 W · 73 L-9.9wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-26.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1fe0…9e71backed Vexar61c1,500$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5857100%7 W · 0 L+3.2wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+108.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1bcd…0a69backed Vexar50c1,500$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7509749.5%48 W · 49 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbadb…31a7backed Vexar60c1,500$904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.213647.1%64 W · 72 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf800…e928backed Vexar59c1,410$838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.18060%48 W · 32 L+10.0wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+34.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Vexar62c1,399$862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.082962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf235…e846backed Vexar71c1,394$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.444100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+64.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c9e…bb7fbacked Vexar63c1,262$797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.01977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.25per pick53cpaid+30.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9491…547dbacked Vexar60c1,250$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Falcons Force35c1,241$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.465,34131.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L-390.7wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Falcons Force37c1,105$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.592,53034.6%876 W · 1,654 L-193.6wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4959…f2d0backed Vexar51c1,071$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.592755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Falcons Force44c1,040$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4585,09555.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L+119.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b27…0635backed Vexar55c948.98$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.2533050%165 W · 165 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Falcons Force49c930.8$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.642,36545.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L-58.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c8b…7a07backed Vexar61c929.58$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.4521360.1%128 W · 85 L+10.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4261…fed8backed Vexar72c929.42$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.42250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-30.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd1e…ac87backed Vexar59c896.95$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.783256.3%18 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc73a…ba42backed Vexar62c892.15$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.1413056.2%73 W · 57 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5364…4ed0backed Vexar58c867.25$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.27955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Falcons Force35c827.24$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.2334626.9%93 W · 253 L-13.4wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd677…7579backed Falcons Force38c810.54$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.265646.4%26 W · 30 L-4.8wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-20.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2f8e…0c69backed Falcons Force39c799.98$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.9928637.8%108 W · 178 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Falcons Force44c777.33$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.32,79837.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L-138.2wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf186…03a9backed Vexar56c708.99$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.6622452.2%117 W · 107 L+20.6wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+28.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Vexar55c703.5$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.0323847.9%114 W · 124 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Vexar62c701.99$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.175100%5 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+63.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa474…32cbbacked Falcons Force28c689.39$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.5626345.2%119 W · 144 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Vexar72c679.98$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.62,52743.1%1,088 W · 1,439 L+42.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e18…872ebacked Falcons Force45c666.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007170.4%50 W · 21 L+9.7wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+22.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xaaad…29e0backed Vexar51c655$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.551384.6%11 W · 2 L+4.7wins+0.36per pick48cpaid+76.4%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Vexar71c615.03$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.7839553.7%212 W · 183 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54bc…b4e9backed Vexar59c605.52$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.35149%25 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bdf…f53dbacked Falcons Force30c583.49$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.712638.5%10 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb12…6a81backed Falcons Force28c582.83$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.078946.1%41 W · 48 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1285…6a2fbacked Vexar65c548.12$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.361747.1%8 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1d5…54d5backed Vexar71c539.99$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.741450.7%210 W · 204 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c3…0566backed Vexar56c525.04$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.519762.9%61 W · 36 L+8.1wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+15.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdcce…c920backed Vexar70c508.19$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.1918062.2%112 W · 68 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b6b…acabbacked Falcons Force45c481.55$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.613357.6%19 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked Falcons Force43c469$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.6718350.8%93 W · 90 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae22…3ab3backed Falcons Force41c465.29$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.124348.8%21 W · 22 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+11.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa8eb…0f59backed Vexar49c459.34$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.3422546.2%104 W · 121 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c8c…2d81backed Falcons Force54c457$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.1550548.1%243 W · 262 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0054…59ffbacked Falcons Force49c451.76$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.3613357.1%76 W · 57 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f1c…6383backed Vexar50c447.35$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.683354.5%18 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+29%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbc6…9092backed Falcons Force45c432.38$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.433729.7%11 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8e4…3b32backed Falcons Force36c424.61$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.925343.4%23 W · 30 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-26.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd544…4994backed Vexar49c417.8$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.392653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fdd…d385backed Vexar57c410$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.94546.7%21 W · 24 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-6.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc75d…0717backed Vexar53c369.64$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.6531043.9%136 W · 174 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Vexar49c368.01$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.015,87637.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L+71.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f28…f789backed Falcons Force36c353.07$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.6920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf4b…59acbacked Vexar57c350.32$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.32683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick64cpaid+32.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Falcons Force38c342$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.6953135%186 W · 345 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b25…7a69backed Falcons Force36c335.95$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.071822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-25.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5f9a…000dbacked Falcons Force37c327$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.992343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2bb8…7017backed Falcons Force46c326.08$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.523154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Vexar62c320.96$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.968467.9%57 W · 27 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d16…e42bbacked Vexar58c320$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.411560.9%70 W · 45 L+10.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x050e…d92fbacked Vexar64c319.96$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.0922658%131 W · 95 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Falcons Force47c319$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.682,39346.7%1,118 W · 1,275 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c57…7db2backed Vexar55c318.94$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.971782.4%14 W · 3 L+4.7wins+0.28per pick55cpaid+51.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x051c…ca3fbacked Vexar55c315$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.8536847.6%175 W · 193 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x165d…121cbacked Falcons Force45c313.65$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Falcons Force44c311.99$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.282,03053.7%1,091 W · 939 L+6.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98f3…3ca0backed Falcons Force40c300$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120825%2 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-48.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Falcons Force36c300$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1081,00748.5%488 W · 519 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6524…5cf2backed Vexar45c291$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.351533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-37.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Falcons Force34c288.19$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.5523644.9%106 W · 130 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-17.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb595…5922backed Vexar61c276.29$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.7520653.9%111 W · 95 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd30b…2acdbacked Vexar55c272.53$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.135263.5%33 W · 19 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Vexar59c270.44$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.6470060.1%421 W · 279 L+70.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+13.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7275…8b45backed Falcons Force37c258.78$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956336.5%23 W · 40 L-8.0wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-25.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe36c…a856backed Falcons Force47c258.61$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1229238%35 W · 57 L+0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07e8…faaebacked Vexar61c254.18$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.1317650.6%89 W · 87 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e93…0a5cbacked Falcons Force29c246.85$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.541668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.