Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc407f2dde9a85effa08bb805c9a46ea681c58e03f0bf6e768c4dc6f70a832c0d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GamerLegionof GamerLegion, PARIVISION
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,064
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,064 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed GamerLegion | 31c | 9,026$2,832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,193.95 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed PARIVISION | 0c | 8,069$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked PARIVISION | 69c | 6,442$4,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,476.5 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed PARIVISION | 70c | 4,060$2,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,841.49 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed PARIVISION | 67c | 3,383$2,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,268.44 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3f…ab65backed GamerLegion | 35c | 2,000$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300.5 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f9…32b1backed GamerLegion | 19c | 1,800$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449.24 | 312 | 45.8%143 W · 169 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed GamerLegion | 31c | 1,400$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9c…101cbacked PARIVISION | 70c | 1,318$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.93 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked PARIVISION | 79c | 1,230$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.49 | 119 | 60.5%72 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed GamerLegion | 69c | 889.63$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.43 | 180 | 75%135 W · 45 L | +18.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked PARIVISION | 69c | 759.88$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.32 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed PARIVISION | 66c | 700$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed PARIVISION | 76c | 683.17$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.7 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked GamerLegion | 20c | 610.06$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.03 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed GamerLegion | 28c | 605.22$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.76 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed GamerLegion | 34c | 599.99$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked GamerLegion | 34c | 599.24$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.24 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed GamerLegion | 29c | 582.53$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.53 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed GamerLegion | 30c | 580$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ccb…bbd7backed GamerLegion | 36c | 562.65$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.65 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed GamerLegion | 23c | 556.83$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.77 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed GamerLegion | 56c | 500$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 454 | 57.5%261 W · 193 L | +39.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed GamerLegion | 30c | 472.59$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.69 | 211 | 46.9%99 W · 112 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked PARIVISION | 67c | 446.18$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.94 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked PARIVISION | 72c | 427.72$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.85 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked GamerLegion | 31c | 419.35$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.35 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked GamerLegion | 26c | 400$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f7e…063fbacked PARIVISION | 71c | 400$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e0…ac15backed GamerLegion | 29c | 400$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 43cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e4…2a20backed PARIVISION | 70c | 400$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked GamerLegion | 30c | 400$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279 | 251 | 47.4%119 W · 132 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…8c08backed GamerLegion | 7c | 357.19$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.6 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked GamerLegion | 9c | 351.19$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.53 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed PARIVISION | 35c | 336.75$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.11 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c4…0425backed PARIVISION | 72c | 323.61$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 58cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a75…fc33backed GamerLegion | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed PARIVISION | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 130 | 27.7%36 W · 94 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae10…d0d9backed PARIVISION | 66c | 300$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 173 | 53.2%92 W · 81 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed GamerLegion | 17c | 289.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.79 | 630 | 32.5%205 W · 425 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked PARIVISION | 65c | 209.63$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.02 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed PARIVISION | 70c | 193$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.1 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed GamerLegion | 31c | 192.86$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.86 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed PARIVISION | 66c | 155$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.3 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked PARIVISION | 69c | 124.97$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.99 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked PARIVISION | 71c | 109.86$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked GamerLegion | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.22 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed GamerLegion | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 504 | 44%222 W · 282 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63e1…802abacked GamerLegion | 19c | 100$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.8 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked PARIVISION | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 370 | 18.9%70 W · 300 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed PARIVISION | 72c | 98.51$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.93 | 234 | 59%138 W · 96 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed GamerLegion | 27c | 98.46$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.14 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed PARIVISION | 66c | 75.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe91b…f299backed GamerLegion | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…cd5fbacked PARIVISION | 72c | 55.32$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.83 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed GamerLegion | 29c | 55$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.05 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed GamerLegion | 28c | 54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.02 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ac…b988backed PARIVISION | 79c | 50.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.79 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad9…7bf6backed GamerLegion | 21c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.62 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed PARIVISION | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed PARIVISION | 71c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 378 | 51.1%193 W · 185 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed PARIVISION | 71c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 302 | 50%151 W · 151 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…a5edbacked GamerLegion | 30c | 37.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.99 | 406 | 44.6%181 W · 225 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed GamerLegion | 31c | 35.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.76 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ba…fc0ebacked GamerLegion | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 201 | 49.8%100 W · 101 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1912…def8backed PARIVISION | 68c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 146 | 56.2%82 W · 64 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed PARIVISION | 68c | 28.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb64c…393dbacked PARIVISION | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 293 | 50.2%147 W · 146 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd425…603ebacked PARIVISION | 76c | 26.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd30…9a01backed PARIVISION | 62c | 26.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 160 | 54.4%87 W · 73 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfff1…12e4backed PARIVISION | 46c | 25.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 129 | 37.2%48 W · 81 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked PARIVISION | 66c | 25.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 149 | 63.1%94 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7560…1ee1backed PARIVISION | 42c | 24.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 211 | 33.6%71 W · 140 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed PARIVISION | 69c | 22.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca7…3411backed PARIVISION | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 70 | 68.6%48 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…4cc3backed PARIVISION | 66c | 19.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 178 | 61.2%109 W · 69 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1620…227bbacked PARIVISION | 66c | 18.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 137 | 62.8%86 W · 51 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ab…4be1backed PARIVISION | 63c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: GamerLegion vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: GamerLegion vs PARIVISION (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group AGamerLegion won
- Dota 2: GamerLegion vs PARIVISION - Game 1 WinnerGamerLegion won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.