Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs PARIVISION (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa347e07ad7a4c6f3eb21728a7f662369757dd7b789ea89425aadb638f6bd2761
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GamerLegionof GamerLegion, PARIVISION
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,213
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,213 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed PARIVISION | 73c | 2,742$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed GamerLegion | 26c | 1,939$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,442.29 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8eec…6c5fbacked GamerLegion | 29c | 932$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed PARIVISION | 2c | 860.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed PARIVISION | 75c | 800$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed GamerLegion | 27c | 776.81$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.36 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked GamerLegion | 27c | 735.29$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.9 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked GamerLegion | 32c | 644.35$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…f092backed GamerLegion | 28c | 628.51$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.75 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d3f6backed PARIVISION | 71c | 467$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad8…aeb9backed PARIVISION | 71c | 462$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1271…79afbacked GamerLegion | 29c | 437$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +188.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed GamerLegion | 68c | 432.21$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.37 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea49…434fbacked PARIVISION | 73c | 358.1$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.88 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed GamerLegion | 64c | 326.99$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.61 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc752…c6e5backed PARIVISION | 71c | 294$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe938…bf09backed PARIVISION | 71c | 284$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe702…563fbacked PARIVISION | 74c | 265.96$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2e…b5a5backed GamerLegion | 22c | 202.52$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.99 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc18…2ce9backed PARIVISION | 45c | 196.4$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.38 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed PARIVISION | 37c | 195.2$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.22 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81fc…f616backed PARIVISION | 74c | 191.14$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.05 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked GamerLegion | 54c | 184.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.62 | 374 | 41.2%154 W · 220 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked GamerLegion | 24c | 174.9$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.18 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | -7.3wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed PARIVISION | 78c | 157.04$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc97…2811backed PARIVISION | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aca…059fbacked GamerLegion | 29c | 140$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +140%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3c…3206backed PARIVISION | 74c | 135.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…db93backed PARIVISION | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed GamerLegion | 19c | 117$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.24 | 109 | 37.6%41 W · 68 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed PARIVISION | 35c | 110.36$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.63 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked GamerLegion | 36c | 106.57$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.44 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked GamerLegion | 67c | 105$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 105 | 60%63 W · 42 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…1992backed PARIVISION | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 82 | 13.4%11 W · 71 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c06…bbeebacked PARIVISION | 71c | 95.22$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed GamerLegion | 29c | 76.36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.58 | 229 | 45.9%105 W · 124 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…de7cbacked GamerLegion | 66c | 75.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed PARIVISION | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed PARIVISION | 37c | 73.66$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x797e…fc29backed GamerLegion | 28c | 71.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb020…92f3backed PARIVISION | 70c | 60$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed PARIVISION | 74c | 56.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.96 | 187 | 39%73 W · 114 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed PARIVISION | 67c | 46.73$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.31 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x156b…c533backed PARIVISION | 76c | 46.05$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b30…5bf9backed GamerLegion | 33c | 44.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.64 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked GamerLegion | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…91ecbacked PARIVISION | 71c | 36$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed PARIVISION | 71c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ad…4be9backed PARIVISION | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed PARIVISION | 77c | 28.57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 155 | 49%76 W · 79 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed PARIVISION | 67c | 25.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -4.6wins | -0.38per pick | 46cpaid | -87.9%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xedce…412ebacked GamerLegion | 54c | 24.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a34…aa23backed PARIVISION | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…ca4ebacked PARIVISION | 77c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…db89backed PARIVISION | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8138…1052backed GamerLegion | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f76…e24cbacked PARIVISION | 77c | 14.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9c…c851backed PARIVISION | 77c | 14.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdda1…e338backed PARIVISION | 77c | 14.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf20…5be2backed PARIVISION | 77c | 14.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…18eebacked PARIVISION | 77c | 14.27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: GamerLegion vs PARIVISION (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group Athis page
- Dota 2: GamerLegion vs PARIVISION - Game 1 WinnerGamerLegion won
- Dota 2: GamerLegion vs PARIVISION - Game 2 WinnerGamerLegion won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.