Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc412c8cf935091336e9ee48bd7c36ae43aef077c2ab5de8ae88897970c0c970e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zero Tenacityof Zero Tenacity, Power Rangers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,808
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,538
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,808 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7600…4478backed Zero Tenacity | 48c | 2,052$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.94 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Power Rangers | 60c | 1,684$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.37 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Power Rangers | 52c | 1,346$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed Zero Tenacity | 53c | 885.75$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.75 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Power Rangers | 52c | 830.23$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.55 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f2…d84fbacked Power Rangers | 53c | 830$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.3 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Zero Tenacity | 48c | 729.79$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.22 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Zero Tenacity | 48c | 583$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.14 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Zero Tenacity | 44c | 377.55$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.97 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Power Rangers | 60c | 352$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.6 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b0…ad2cbacked Zero Tenacity | 44c | 277.46$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.33 | 210 | 62.4%131 W · 79 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed Power Rangers | 60c | 267.3$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.49 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Zero Tenacity | 35c | 253.85$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.12 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…d369backed Zero Tenacity | 45c | 220$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa824…c9fcbacked Power Rangers | 50c | 201.05$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Zero Tenacity | 50c | 176$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 360 | 54.4%196 W · 164 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b98…e5d1backed Zero Tenacity | 56c | 143.91$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67c3…0e36backed Zero Tenacity | 74c | 131.27$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.13 | 129 | 65.1%84 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1191…dfa6backed Power Rangers | 32c | 118.85$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.03 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Zero Tenacity | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82f0…84f6backed Power Rangers | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed Power Rangers | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…8229backed Zero Tenacity | 34c | 89.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.38 | 337 | 43.6%147 W · 190 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…0cb5backed Zero Tenacity | 43c | 78.05$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.43 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.23per pick | 38cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x55d5…1beabacked Zero Tenacity | 80c | 73.93$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Power Rangers | 34c | 55.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 477 | 48.6%232 W · 245 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Zero Tenacity | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d9…e0cebacked Zero Tenacity | 32c | 36.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.95 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +7.2wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Power Rangers | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed Power Rangers | 51c | 21.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 555 | 61.8%343 W · 212 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf50…aca0backed Power Rangers | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Power Rangers (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Play-In Group CZero Tenacity won
- Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Power Rangers - Game 2 WinnerPower Rangers won
- Game Handicap: PR (-1.5) vs Zero Tenacity (+1.5)Zero Tenacity won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.