Tennis · resolved market
ITF M25 Ueberlingen Men: Tim Handel vs Adrian Oetzbach
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc45df119cf20d375bd217a71f243cb09db390a5d3330c30287fdc9a454d20c1c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tim Handelof Tim Handel, Adrian Oetzbach
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,103
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,431
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,103 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8e3…aaf2backed Adrian Oetzbach | 53c | 14,481$7,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,627.77 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…9158backed Tim Handel | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 790 | 40.6%321 W · 469 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Tim Handel | 50c | 1,740$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.81 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Tim Handel | 49c | 1,527$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.19 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Tim Handel | 49c | 1,263$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.43 | 2,444 | 51.3%1,254 W · 1,190 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Tim Handel | 50c | 846.17$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.09 | 3,711 | 45.3%1,680 W · 2,031 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Tim Handel | 49c | 698.66$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.13 | 261 | 41.4%108 W · 153 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Tim Handel | 47c | 627.12$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.34 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Tim Handel | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 988 | 41.3%408 W · 580 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Tim Handel | 49c | 600$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…ef3dbacked Tim Handel | 73c | 542.61$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.64 | 436 | 52.1%227 W · 209 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a3…9e12backed Tim Handel | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Tim Handel | 48c | 210.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.52 | 3,726 | 42.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L | -48.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d9…84afbacked Tim Handel | 47c | 193$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.29 | 320 | 49.1%157 W · 163 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Tim Handel | 49c | 177.31$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.55 | 1,878 | 53.2%1,000 W · 878 L | +30.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Adrian Oetzbach | 25c | 136.58$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.19 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2996…fd9dbacked Tim Handel | 71c | 113$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.51 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Tim Handel | 51c | 110$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.2 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Tim Handel | 47c | 104.51$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.39 | 249 | 28.9%72 W · 177 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Tim Handel | 66c | 97.65$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.67 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Tim Handel | 45c | 97$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.35 | 489 | 47.4%232 W · 257 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Adrian Oetzbach | 53c | 95.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.48 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Adrian Oetzbach | 56c | 80$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 223 | 37.7%84 W · 139 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc02…ce2abacked Tim Handel | 74c | 78.55$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 228 | 72.4%165 W · 63 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Adrian Oetzbach | 22c | 75.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Tim Handel | 73c | 68.88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.77 | 1,314 | 39%512 W · 802 L | -23.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b04…403fbacked Tim Handel | 49c | 55.72$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.17 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed Tim Handel | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 301 | 47.5%143 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b3…966bbacked Tim Handel | 54c | 47.76$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.97 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Tim Handel | 58c | 46.59$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.49 | 792 | 38.3%303 W · 489 L | -15.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Tim Handel | 50c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.28 | 603 | 41.1%248 W · 355 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Tim Handel | 51c | 38.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 3,987 | 45.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1c…5bc8backed Adrian Oetzbach | 63c | 31.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +36%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Tim Handel | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 1,008 | 57.7%582 W · 426 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Tim Handel | 69c | 23.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc40…6ae3backed Tim Handel | 44c | 22.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4f…000ebacked Tim Handel | 47c | 22.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Tim Handel | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 1,036 | 54.2%562 W · 474 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Adrian Oetzbach | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 451 | 39%176 W · 275 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed Tim Handel | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 166 | 53.6%89 W · 77 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.