Tennis · resolved market
ITF Wichita: Blake Ellis vs Sebastian Gorzny
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4749831234a950bcec0320e576040f45994647e5e6114cd1dbe08107d4a8828
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sebastian Gorznyof Blake Ellis, Sebastian Gorzny
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,024
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,074
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,024 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Blake Ellis | 41c | 1,681$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.65 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Sebastian Gorzny | 60c | 885.11$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.21 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Sebastian Gorzny | 43c | 809.7$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.53 | 579 | 50.9%295 W · 284 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Sebastian Gorzny | 55c | 765.24$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.31 | 1,723 | 50.1%863 W · 860 L | +29.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Sebastian Gorzny | 49c | 692.38$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.92 | 2,776 | 53.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L | +69.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Blake Ellis | 43c | 441.73$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.92 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Sebastian Gorzny | 49c | 394.04$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.96 | 1,091 | 60.2%657 W · 434 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Blake Ellis | 28c | 314.5$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.04 | 643 | 46.2%297 W · 346 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…c3cbbacked Blake Ellis | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 104 | 40.4%42 W · 62 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Sebastian Gorzny | 56c | 255.19$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.28 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed Blake Ellis | 59c | 225.85$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.25 | 316 | 56.3%178 W · 138 L | +19.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Sebastian Gorzny | 52c | 225.2$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.12 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Blake Ellis | 43c | 224.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.88 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Blake Ellis | 43c | 210.31$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.37 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Blake Ellis | 13c | 200.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.86 | 947 | 51.1%484 W · 463 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Sebastian Gorzny | 59c | 186.39$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.39 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Blake Ellis | 43c | 184.55$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Blake Ellis | 39c | 166.05$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.95 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Sebastian Gorzny | 50c | 158.9$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.9 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Sebastian Gorzny | 59c | 139.02$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 232 | 47%109 W · 123 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3054…055bbacked Sebastian Gorzny | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…8ff7backed Sebastian Gorzny | 55c | 99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.55 | 394 | 43.9%173 W · 221 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Sebastian Gorzny | 46c | 70.72$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 3,457 | 38.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L | -15.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Blake Ellis | 53c | 68.86$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 2,639 | 46.4%1,224 W · 1,415 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8e…6461backed Sebastian Gorzny | 58c | 55$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Blake Ellis | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.77 | 1,730 | 52.2%903 W · 827 L | -8.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…5c66backed Blake Ellis | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 483 | 55.1%266 W · 217 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Blake Ellis | 37c | 47.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a41…0123backed Blake Ellis | 56c | 45.8$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.68 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8711…d2d0backed Blake Ellis | 42c | 45.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 433 | 58.4%253 W · 180 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Blake Ellis | 28c | 44.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf006…bb6cbacked Blake Ellis | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…c2d0backed Sebastian Gorzny | 57c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 124 | 62.1%77 W · 47 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a8…b1f7backed Blake Ellis | 46c | 30.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 287 | 38.3%110 W · 177 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Blake Ellis | 51c | 29.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Blake Ellis | 53c | 29.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 2,179 | 37%807 W · 1,372 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Sebastian Gorzny | 52c | 28.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 1,120 | 56.5%633 W · 487 L | +52.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Blake Ellis | 60c | 26.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Sebastian Gorzny | 58c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.39 | 234 | 27.4%64 W · 170 L | -40.1wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Blake Ellis | 44c | 22.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed0d…3646backed Blake Ellis | 78c | 21.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.