Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Darja Vidmanova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4b443601bb64d2eb8e95b7f49e6f26a504fcffc9b480f377f2df7a3afd1e37c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jessica Pegulaof Jessica Pegula, Darja Vidmanova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,489
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,957
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,489 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Darja Vidmanova | 8c | 6,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.99 | 168 | 25%42 W · 126 L | -14.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Darja Vidmanova | 8c | 4,072$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.06 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed Darja Vidmanova | 6c | 3,240$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.4 | 619 | 24.4%151 W · 468 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd546…657bbacked Darja Vidmanova | 5c | 3,106$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.79 | 194 | 10.3%20 W · 174 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Darja Vidmanova | 2c | 2,225$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.61 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Darja Vidmanova | 8c | 2,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.99 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64f4…b38ebacked Darja Vidmanova | 5c | 1,962$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 277 | 32.5%90 W · 187 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8c…273fbacked Darja Vidmanova | 9c | 1,818$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.58 | 151 | 51.7%78 W · 73 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2c…2151backed Darja Vidmanova | 8c | 1,461$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.95 | 389 | 11.6%45 W · 344 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1226…f998backed Darja Vidmanova | 5c | 1,130$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 299 | 40.1%120 W · 179 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9527…f108backed Darja Vidmanova | 5c | 764.03$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.29 | 527 | 39.3%207 W · 320 L | +37.6wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Darja Vidmanova | 3c | 683.17$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Darja Vidmanova | 8c | 661.74$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.94 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bc…377ebacked Darja Vidmanova | 9c | 566.67$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 249 | 18.5%46 W · 203 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Darja Vidmanova | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 265 | 41.9%111 W · 154 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Darja Vidmanova | 9c | 410.78$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.97 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Darja Vidmanova | 9c | 400$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…20bebacked Darja Vidmanova | 8c | 336.75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.94 | 482 | 14.1%68 W · 414 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70e9…836abacked Darja Vidmanova | 8c | 320$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c42…6e3bbacked Darja Vidmanova | 8c | 307.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.59 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Darja Vidmanova | 14c | 305$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.7 | 898 | 50.1%450 W · 448 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Darja Vidmanova | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Darja Vidmanova | 14c | 239.3$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…a806backed Darja Vidmanova | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 113 | 36.3%41 W · 72 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Darja Vidmanova | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d2…4a24backed Darja Vidmanova | 8c | 142.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 529 | 10%53 W · 476 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db3…667abacked Darja Vidmanova | 13c | 87.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Darja Vidmanovathis page
- Set 1 Winner: Pegula vs VidmanovaPegula won
- Set Handicap: Pegula (-1.5) vs Vidmanova (+1.5)Pegula won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.