NHL · resolved market
KHL: CSKA Moscow vs. SKA St. Petersburg
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4dc67b16c0184fe75f3bbd1d71e0927b50c1048ac0168303f3752d1ce2f211c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CSKA Moscowof CSKA Moscow, SKA St. Petersburg
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,113
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,716
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,113 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b1…f737backed SKA St. Petersburg | 38c | 1,756$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.9 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed CSKA Moscow | 62c | 598.48$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.42 | 519 | 49.5%257 W · 262 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed CSKA Moscow | 80c | 494$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.8 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked CSKA Moscow | 62c | 423$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.74 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee0…56bfbacked SKA St. Petersburg | 21c | 337.22$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.82 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd054…dcb0backed CSKA Moscow | 79c | 322$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.62 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked SKA St. Petersburg | 33c | 320.76$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.85 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked SKA St. Petersburg | 35c | 299.98$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.99 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…daa5backed SKA St. Petersburg | 37c | 297.89$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.02 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked CSKA Moscow | 63c | 219.57$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.04 | 104 | 64.4%67 W · 37 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed CSKA Moscow | 63c | 217.64$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.53 | 177 | 50.8%90 W · 87 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e88…df66backed CSKA Moscow | 64c | 152.88$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked CSKA Moscow | 63c | 144$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.28 | 337 | 45.7%154 W · 183 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed CSKA Moscow | 62c | 142.63$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.8 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed CSKA Moscow | 63c | 132.97$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.9 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked CSKA Moscow | 66c | 121.89$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.92 | 183 | 44.8%82 W · 101 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked CSKA Moscow | 65c | 121.77$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.62 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed SKA St. Petersburg | 36c | 115.59$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.14 | 226 | 55.3%125 W · 101 L | +17.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed CSKA Moscow | 64c | 110.64$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.83 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed SKA St. Petersburg | 34c | 109.04$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.07 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed CSKA Moscow | 78c | 98.68$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.71 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked SKA St. Petersburg | 23c | 96.46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.66 | 454 | 47.8%217 W · 237 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked SKA St. Petersburg | 20c | 90.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d960backed CSKA Moscow | 74c | 87.08$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.49 | 366 | 62%227 W · 139 L | +39.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf84b…6455backed SKA St. Petersburg | 13c | 83.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed CSKA Moscow | 62c | 79.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 69 | 31.9%22 W · 47 L | -8.3wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed CSKA Moscow | 66c | 64.34$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.95 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed SKA St. Petersburg | 35c | 61.57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed SKA St. Petersburg | 40c | 61.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked SKA St. Petersburg | 33c | 59.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1193…d9c4backed SKA St. Petersburg | 35c | 46.66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x241e…04cbbacked CSKA Moscow | 65c | 45.18$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 62 | 71%44 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked SKA St. Petersburg | 36c | 44.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 115 | 37.4%43 W · 72 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfb…cd1cbacked CSKA Moscow | 79c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x403d…2709backed CSKA Moscow | 64c | 30.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6c…e9a0backed CSKA Moscow | 64c | 30.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6caa…4fb3backed CSKA Moscow | 64c | 30.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8278…ad93backed CSKA Moscow | 65c | 24.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 56 | 76.8%43 W · 13 L | +10.8wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff7…d3c9backed CSKA Moscow | 67c | 20.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x817c…fb78backed CSKA Moscow | 65c | 20.52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed CSKA Moscow | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 497 | 47.9%238 W · 259 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed CSKA Moscow | 63c | 19.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 175 | 53.1%93 W · 82 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.