Tennis · resolved market
Tyler: Adam Walton vs Liam Draxl
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5313abfc5ec1d1d01075718924a3fd4bea19eef8afc41f891ea689a9ee3ad61
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Adam Waltonof Adam Walton, Liam Draxl
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,453
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,502
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,453 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Liam Draxl | 4c | 3,547$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.24 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Liam Draxl | 22c | 3,494$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.45 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Liam Draxl | 35c | 3,412$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.14 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2f…499cbacked Adam Walton | 77c | 2,582$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.65 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Adam Walton | 68c | 2,217$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.51 | 1,267 | 56.6%717 W · 550 L | -18.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Liam Draxl | 21c | 1,835$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.46 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Adam Walton | 74c | 1,409$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.56 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Adam Walton | 66c | 1,264$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.93 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Liam Draxl | 27c | 1,148$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.07 | 521 | 52.2%272 W · 249 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacd…646ebacked Adam Walton | 80c | 840.09$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.02 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Liam Draxl | 7c | 798.95$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 302 | 26.8%81 W · 221 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Liam Draxl | 9c | 700$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.93 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Adam Walton | 78c | 640.35$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.35 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Liam Draxl | 33c | 620.96$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.51 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Liam Draxl | 33c | 586.55$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.97 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Adam Walton | 66c | 447.76$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.24 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Liam Draxl | 22c | 421.65$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.18 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Liam Draxl | 32c | 421.31$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.97 | 132 | 43.9%58 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e72…d0b9backed Liam Draxl | 20c | 352.53$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.48 | 707 | 29.1%206 W · 501 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Adam Walton | 67c | 309.55$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.15 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Liam Draxl | 31c | 301.43$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.74 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Liam Draxl | 21c | 275$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Liam Draxl | 17c | 267.96$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.37 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Liam Draxl | 20c | 251.44$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.54 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Liam Draxl | 23c | 243.48$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Liam Draxl | 21c | 240$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Adam Walton | 65c | 230.75$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.76 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Adam Walton | 68c | 205.88$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.88 | 849 | 68.4%581 W · 268 L | +25.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc63a…26a0backed Liam Draxl | 21c | 199.85$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.17 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Adam Walton | 65c | 196.49$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.77 | 478 | 54.8%262 W · 216 L | +25.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Liam Draxl | 21c | 190.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Liam Draxl | 20c | 187.25$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.57 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x52be…801ebacked Adam Walton | 67c | 180.76$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.09 | 307 | 49.8%153 W · 154 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Liam Draxl | 15c | 159.88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…eda7backed Liam Draxl | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 418 | 46.2%193 W · 225 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Liam Draxl | 24c | 155.55$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.28 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Adam Walton | 78c | 151.17$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.96 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Liam Draxl | 28c | 149.85$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.52 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Liam Draxl | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…d814backed Liam Draxl | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 405 | 54.1%219 W · 186 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Liam Draxl | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Adam Walton | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 182 | 58.8%107 W · 75 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Liam Draxl | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Liam Draxl | 19c | 77.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 180 | 38.3%69 W · 111 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Adam Walton | 79c | 72.53$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 917 | 55.5%509 W · 408 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a20…d606backed Adam Walton | 79c | 65$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 926 | 74.6%691 W · 235 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e0…5a1bbacked Liam Draxl | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 215 | 33.5%72 W · 143 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Liam Draxl | 36c | 56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Liam Draxl | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x387f…70a8backed Adam Walton | 68c | 45.59$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.59 | 75 | 62.7%47 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca2…03cfbacked Liam Draxl | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b4…a38abacked Liam Draxl | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9c…f77dbacked Adam Walton | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…4134backed Adam Walton | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 449 | 49.4%222 W · 227 L | +23.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8073…c119backed Adam Walton | 79c | 27.72$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Adam Walton | 75c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9081…8a6ebacked Adam Walton | 74c | 25.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.71 | 417 | 68.1%284 W · 133 L | -21.4wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Adam Walton | 63c | 20.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.52 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c7…007dbacked Adam Walton | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe37…911dbacked Adam Walton | 79c | 19.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 326 | 75.2%245 W · 81 L | +20.4wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ce…41acbacked Adam Walton | 77c | 13.33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.07 | 133 | 66.2%88 W · 45 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.