MLB · resolved market
Blue Jays vs. Marlins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc55f7d8a77d11eb5abf8ce9e2a3b1371588376993b3edb611ac185fe198d9529
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blue Jaysof Blue Jays, Marlins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,996
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,160
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,996 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Blue Jays | 59c | 14,563$8,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,970.83 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Marlins | 39c | 12,762$4,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,990.19 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Marlins | 8c | 9,989$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.47 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Marlins | 40c | 9,189$3,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,675.61 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Blue Jays | 60c | 8,057$4,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,222.98 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Blue Jays | 60c | 5,131$3,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,059.29 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce13…a213backed Marlins | 40c | 5,010$2,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,004 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Blue Jays | 61c | 4,702$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,852.18 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb31…cd36backed Blue Jays | 60c | 3,533$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,413.2 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Marlins | 41c | 2,940$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205.4 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Marlins | 7c | 2,442$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.8 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Marlins | 40c | 2,282$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.84 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Marlins | 40c | 1,917$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.8 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Blue Jays | 62c | 1,892$1,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.97 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Marlins | 40c | 1,351$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.4 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Blue Jays | 59c | 1,204$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.57 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Blue Jays | 63c | 1,125$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.49 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Marlins | 2c | 1,100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x876b…9e57backed Marlins | 39c | 988$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.32 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa737…e0a5backed Blue Jays | 61c | 980$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61c4…f5f2backed Blue Jays | 61c | 970$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.3 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc20c…81cfbacked Marlins | 39c | 962$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.18 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Marlins | 33c | 939$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.03 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Marlins | 43c | 900$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Marlins | 40c | 870.95$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.38 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Marlins | 3c | 763.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Marlins | 33c | 751.68$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Marlins | 39c | 749.95$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.48 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Blue Jays | 60c | 666.67$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.67 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Marlins | 40c | 582$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.8 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Marlins | 40c | 529.35$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.74 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Blue Jays | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3c…2807backed Marlins | 41c | 495.12$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x391e…5b83backed Blue Jays | 60c | 495$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Marlins | 43c | 474.93$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.22 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Marlins | 39c | 400.46$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.32 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Blue Jays | 58c | 387$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.54 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Marlins | 6c | 320$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Marlins | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15c6…6ed6backed Blue Jays | 60c | 266.64$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.99 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Marlins | 17c | 251.29$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.57 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x251b…143cbacked Blue Jays | 65c | 240.42$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.76 | 217 | 53.9%117 W · 100 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Marlins | 43c | 233.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ea…e15cbacked Marlins | 44c | 226.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Marlins | 41c | 226$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.66 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Marlins | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Marlins | 40c | 199.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked Blue Jays | 59c | 183.08$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.06 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Marlins | 41c | 181.93$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.59 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb5…da2cbacked Blue Jays | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Blue Jays | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Blue Jays | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5284…27f5backed Blue Jays | 61c | 162.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.65 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Blue Jays | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Blue Jays | 62c | 160.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.24 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3d…d8d1backed Blue Jays | 60c | 155$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Blue Jays | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a29…c0b6backed Blue Jays | 60c | 125$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Marlins | 22c | 125$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.05 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Blue Jays | 61c | 122.95$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.95 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4559…ca89backed Marlins | 40c | 118$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.2 | 235 | 43.4%102 W · 133 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc655…8467backed Blue Jays | 60c | 111$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2408…9de9backed Marlins | 39c | 110.19$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.97 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42a2…9bbabacked Marlins | 21c | 108.11$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.59 | 137 | 40.1%55 W · 82 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Marlins | 26c | 108.11$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.11 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Blue Jays | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0246…8c58backed Marlins | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a43…83f8backed Blue Jays | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d1…6ac6backed Blue Jays | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8e…0c5fbacked Blue Jays | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b39…0c1ebacked Marlins | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Blue Jays | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 182 | 49.5%90 W · 92 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa0…0617backed Marlins | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40a9…0fc3backed Blue Jays | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +108.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf9…9c11backed Marlins | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd13…3368backed Marlins | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a7…0512backed Marlins | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb40…ef0abacked Blue Jays | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bad…dabdbacked Blue Jays | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c95…ed41backed Blue Jays | 59c | 99.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…ff23backed Marlins | 40c | 82.59$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.04 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Blue Jays | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…6ce2backed Marlins | 40c | 80$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 181 | 48.6%88 W · 93 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Blue Jays | 61c | 68.85$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.85 | 1,299 | 56.7%737 W · 562 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Blue Jays | 59c | 67.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd2…7f1dbacked Blue Jays | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 169 | 48.5%82 W · 87 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Blue Jays | 54c | 64.37$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.61 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ca…4670backed Marlins | 41c | 63.93$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacd7…ce6bbacked Marlins | 41c | 60.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3095…8e0ebacked Marlins | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Blue Jays | 78c | 54.92$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.28 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x318e…6601backed Marlins | 40c | 54.2$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.77 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Marlins | 38c | 53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 1,137 | 46.3%526 W · 611 L | +36.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Blue Jays | 59c | 50.13$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.38 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d3…a725backed Blue Jays | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Marlins | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 512 | 45.1%231 W · 281 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d2…18fdbacked Blue Jays | 60c | 45.45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.18 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…9e6dbacked Blue Jays | 60c | 45.25$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc24e…4e87backed Blue Jays | 61c | 45.1$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.59 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Blue Jays | 75c | 45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blue Jays vs. Marlinsthis page
- Blue Jays vs. Marlins: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Blue Jays (-1.5)Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.