South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Central Córdoba vs. CA Tucumán: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc59d8c932b95add17b7e571529ea7d09ab0a52aacf65d6e5b6f58434e732262a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,786
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,792
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,786 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Over | 47c | 4,085$1,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,145.5 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 66c | 3,361$2,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,206.85 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 2,837$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,539.95 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 33c | 2,528$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,694.36 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…ab50backed Over | 22c | 515.5$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.31 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 5c | 511.8$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.37 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 4c | 503.87$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 352 | 46.9%165 W · 187 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c5…46c3backed Over | 41c | 486.22$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.22 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 49c | 461.02$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.24 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 15c | 321.48$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 123 | 38.2%47 W · 76 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 4c | 288.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 44c | 218.41$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.1 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 54c | 199.85$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.82 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 54c | 199.84$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.81 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 64c | 155.54$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.72 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 41c | 131.21$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.76 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 22c | 108.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 230 | 44.3%102 W · 128 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 53c | 103$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.08 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Over | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Under | 63c | 99.35$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.59 | 107 | 66.4%71 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Under | 51c | 98.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed Under | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3b…eedbbacked Under | 59c | 82.77$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 37c | 71.06$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…6163backed Over | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Under | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 53c | 32.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 52c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5998…b5a8backed Over | 65c | 30.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.69 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61ad…1cc0backed Over | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Over | 57c | 19.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 264 | 65.9%174 W · 90 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Under | 63c | 17.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb9…c170backed Under | 80c | 12.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 60 | 78.3%47 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 80cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Central Córdoba vs. CA Tucumán: O/U 1.5this page
- CA Central Córdoba vs. CA Tucumán: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CA Central Córdoba vs. CA Tucumán: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Central Córdoba vs. CA Tucumán: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA Central Córdoba vs. CA Tucumán: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Central Córdoba vs. CA Tucumán: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Central Córdoba vs. CA Tucumán: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Central Córdoba (-1.5)CA Tucumán won
- Spread: CA Central Córdoba (-2.5)CA Tucumán won
- Spread: CA Tucumán (-1.5)CA Tucumán won
- Spread: CA Tucumán (-2.5)CA Central Córdoba won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.