Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: BAR (-1.5) vs GIANTX iTero (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5f405f12b1926b1ae2c13bc25fc15ed808c63478e5ac039089826c148eac038
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GIANTX iTeroof Barça eSports, GIANTX iTero
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,461
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,600
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,461 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6918…782bbacked GIANTX iTero | 55c | 11,000$6,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,949.96 | 1,522 | 54.7%832 W · 690 L | +37.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba43…c6c0backed GIANTX iTero | 57c | 4,386$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,885.94 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Barça eSports | 45c | 2,907$1,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,308.19 | 381 | 48%183 W · 198 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Barça eSports | 44c | 2,690$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196.27 | 1,014 | 47.6%483 W · 531 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Barça eSports | 44c | 1,985$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.37 | 247 | 50.2%124 W · 123 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Barça eSports | 45c | 1,915$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.82 | 59 | 37.3%22 W · 37 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18c2…529abacked Barça eSports | 43c | 1,588$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.5 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Barça eSports | 45c | 1,121$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.76 | 302 | 53.6%162 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…f681backed GIANTX iTero | 57c | 999.95$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.98 | 370 | 39.5%146 W · 224 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Barça eSports | 45c | 888.89$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Barça eSports | 43c | 800.7$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.14 | 1,056 | 50.4%532 W · 524 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Barça eSports | 45c | 375.56$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 520 | 46%239 W · 281 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4b…ecc5backed Barça eSports | 45c | 368.09$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.64 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed Barça eSports | 43c | 348.84$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 142 | 43.7%62 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e9…80c7backed Barça eSports | 43c | 325.97$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 112 | 47.3%53 W · 59 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4f…09b9backed GIANTX iTero | 60c | 200.9$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.36 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Barça eSports | 43c | 198.34$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.28 | 322 | 53.1%171 W · 151 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e0…708fbacked Barça eSports | 43c | 186.05$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Barça eSports | 42c | 133.75$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.29 | 392 | 44.9%176 W · 216 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Barça eSports | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked GIANTX iTero | 57c | 114$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.02 | 373 | 43.4%162 W · 211 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Barça eSports | 50c | 106.08$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.18 | 1,004 | 54.5%547 W · 457 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x160a…43d3backed Barça eSports | 45c | 98.53$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.34 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Barça eSports | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 265 | 41.9%111 W · 154 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Barça eSports | 43c | 82.14$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.32 | 655 | 44.1%289 W · 366 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x443c…d83abacked Barça eSports | 45c | 80.02$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.01 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Barça eSports | 41c | 79.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 357 | 42.9%153 W · 204 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed GIANTX iTero | 59c | 79.98$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.99 | 1,343 | 49%658 W · 685 L | -26.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Barça eSports | 43c | 79.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.39 | 304 | 37.8%115 W · 189 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x267c…5bfdbacked Barça eSports | 40c | 75.05$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 278 | 48.2%134 W · 144 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…ceecbacked GIANTX iTero | 57c | 69.98$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.09 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Barça eSports | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked Barça eSports | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 1,049 | 44.6%468 W · 581 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked GIANTX iTero | 30c | 50.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.48 | 1,143 | 30.8%352 W · 791 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Barça eSports | 44c | 45.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 305 | 37.7%115 W · 190 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…50edbacked Barça eSports | 45c | 41.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed GIANTX iTero | 55c | 37.94$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 417 | 49.2%205 W · 212 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Barça eSports | 43c | 36.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 452 | 44.5%201 W · 251 L | -30.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked GIANTX iTero | 72c | 36.14$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.18 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked GIANTX iTero | 55c | 26.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 969 | 48.6%471 W · 498 L | +12.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7592…59debacked Barça eSports | 45c | 26.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed Barça eSports | 53c | 19.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 213 | 44.6%95 W · 118 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: BAR (-1.5) vs GIANTX iTero (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Barça eSports vs GIANTX iTero (BO3) - LES Regular SeasonBarça eSports won
- LoL: Barça eSports vs GIANTX iTero - Game 1 WinnerBarça eSports won
- LoL: Barça eSports vs GIANTX iTero - Game 2 WinnerGIANTX iTero won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.