Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers vs. Loyola Maryland Greyhounds
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5fa85d82bcf0e59c3835ab1e5dd3ff3565b6b92f299bbb95f9628ca2537d153
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mount St. Mary's Mountaineersof Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers, Loyola Maryland Greyhounds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,444
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,569
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,444 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Loyola Maryland Greyhounds | 45c | 466$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.7 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 55c | 458$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.1 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Loyola Maryland Greyhounds | 25c | 369.29$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.32 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | -11.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 58c | 305$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.15 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +6.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +84.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Loyola Maryland Greyhounds | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 294 | 44.6%131 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Loyola Maryland Greyhounds | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 57c | 253.93$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.35 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 68c | 200$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.58 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Loyola Maryland Greyhounds | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 54c | 190$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.07 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Loyola Maryland Greyhounds | 42c | 159$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.78 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Loyola Maryland Greyhounds | 18c | 137.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.58 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Loyola Maryland Greyhounds | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 402 | 52.7%212 W · 190 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Loyola Maryland Greyhounds | 44c | 112.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.86 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2862…b2ddbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 109 | 39.4%43 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 48c | 97$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.44 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 45c | 58$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Loyola Maryland Greyhounds | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 254 | 38.2%97 W · 157 L | -14.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58a0…d7cabacked Loyola Maryland Greyhounds | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 50c | 43.25$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.51 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 67c | 42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 75c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c9…bacfbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 73c | 16.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.54 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers vs. Loyola Maryland Greyhoundsthis page
- Spread: Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers (-1.5)Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.