Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 8?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc64835b89c36f3743e39c637eeacefd3f9a5f89dac9cdcd812d4a2a33af70ad4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,652
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,223
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,652 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 45c | 827.67$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.49 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd9…a49ebacked No | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 35c | 269.52$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.17 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 51c | 207.47$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.33 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed No | 54c | 185.22$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.18 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed Yes | 54c | 180.32$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.17 | 299 | 41.1%123 W · 176 L | +20.8wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 50c | 172.29$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.93 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf707…e8cebacked No | 22c | 168$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.55 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 75c | 139.62$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.87 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 52c | 136$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.13 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 50c | 134$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.56 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 38c | 132.25$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.54 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8383…cb59backed No | 9c | 132$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 495 | 43.6%216 W · 279 L | +31.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 40c | 129$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.02 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 33c | 122.69$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.85 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x3609…3a0bbacked Yes | 46c | 121.77$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.27 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1e…0567backed No | 41c | 118.52$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.85 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 52c | 114.76$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…1821backed Yes | 56c | 114.09$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.96 | 1,061 | 53.2%564 W · 497 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x759d…cc80backed Yes | 60c | 106.58$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.47 | 778 | 51.9%404 W · 374 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef0…62e0backed No | 45c | 105$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…e4fbbacked No | 30c | 102.51$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.19 | 653 | 53.4%349 W · 304 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 39c | 101.37$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.09 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 77c | 88.37$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.21 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 20c | 85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9e36…508fbacked No | 59c | 84.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 40c | 80.97$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.94 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 56c | 80.21$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.69 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 40c | 79.19$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.7 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 38c | 75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3986…71fcbacked No | 41c | 70.22$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f3…52d8backed No | 43c | 70$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 190 | 71.6%136 W · 54 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafb8…7451backed Yes | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf295…667abacked Yes | 41c | 60.16$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.15per pick | 33cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 24c | 56.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 52c | 55.32$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x970d…022ebacked No | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c1…125ebacked No | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a87…a55abacked Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1,112 | 35.1%390 W · 722 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8442…3eddbacked No | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -6.8wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -43%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x129b…66ecbacked Yes | 61c | 49.44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6606…0195backed Yes | 55c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 176 | 44.3%78 W · 98 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b1a…639dbacked Yes | 68c | 44.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.15 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 38cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe05b…6d6ebacked Yes | 44c | 43.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x410f…57febacked No | 28c | 41.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 46c | 40.49$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.89 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b9…3afcbacked Yes | 41c | 40.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.67 | 204 | 38.7%79 W · 125 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 41c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea7…7450backed No | 48c | 39.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 417 | 60.4%252 W · 165 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59d…b97bbacked Yes | 38c | 38.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 524 | 46.2%242 W · 282 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 54c | 38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82e7…f552backed Yes | 47c | 37.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.75 | 354 | 41%145 W · 209 L | -19.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 41c | 34.55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52dc…33c9backed Yes | 53c | 34.01$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 769 | 36.3%279 W · 490 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7615…308abacked No | 44c | 33.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 184 | 41.3%76 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 46c | 33.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed No | 61c | 32.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 62c | 32.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0651…b4e6backed Yes | 61c | 32.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.53 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 44c | 31.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b18…2639backed Yes | 43c | 29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.58 | 438 | 42%184 W · 254 L | -14.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…b168backed Yes | 55c | 28.68$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10e…4308backed Yes | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 236 | 73.3%173 W · 63 L | +28.6wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad7…347abacked Yes | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 729 | 52.4%382 W · 347 L | +34.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce9a…8ea6backed No | 60c | 26.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 188 | 78.2%147 W · 41 L | +19.4wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x417b…236ebacked Yes | 41c | 26.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 55c | 26.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 45c | 26.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29df…aeecbacked No | 44c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 140 | 43.6%61 W · 79 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked Yes | 62c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd85…7a3dbacked No | 58c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1,050 | 51.2%538 W · 512 L | -99.4wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x86c2…8010backed No | 57c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 1,271 | 47.6%605 W · 666 L | -25.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 51c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 60c | 22.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…af97backed Yes | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3b…256ebacked Yes | 48c | 21.34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 233 | 62.2%145 W · 88 L | +33.5wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fd…5c4fbacked No | 59c | 21.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -11.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d60…6df2backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 257 | 66.1%170 W · 87 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b9…9a9cbacked No | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 649 | 60.2%391 W · 258 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa798…b9dbbacked No | 57c | 19.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x178a…f5b3backed Yes | 54c | 18.59$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed Yes | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 8?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 8?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 8?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.