Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons vs. Northern Kentucky Norse
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6767c281dc30fb269bc1f73c375681a133daf6bfa78fd0fb9dbddf26585ffb9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Northern Kentucky Norseof Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons, Northern Kentucky Norse
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,783
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,137
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,783 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 65c | 1,480$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.44 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 70c | 1,302$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.54 | 349 | 43.3%151 W · 198 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 26c | 1,202$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.56 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 71c | 794.22$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.35 | 379 | 47.8%181 W · 198 L | -26.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 23c | 752.17$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 36c | 698$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.28 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 29c | 642.81$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.69 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 70c | 584.6$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.04 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 44c | 541.2$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.75 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 56c | 518.82$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.28 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 30c | 460.01$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.14 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 30c | 452.8$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.47 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 9c | 365$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 136 | 3.7%5 W · 131 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 27c | 345.94$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.83 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 29c | 300$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 31c | 299.97$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.49 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 14c | 287.8$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.76 | 493 | 45.4%224 W · 269 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 77c | 279.44$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.92 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 30c | 211.05$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.32 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 29c | 200.37$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.11 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe320…e0c5backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 74c | 160$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 70c | 147.03$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.11 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 13c | 140$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 42c | 135$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 30c | 92$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 77c | 90.23$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 30c | 89.19$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.76 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 25c | 89.18$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 68c | 80.88$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.88 | 233 | 63.9%149 W · 84 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 30c | 80.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.54 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 69c | 77$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.87 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 74c | 74$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.34 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 23c | 72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 334 | 45.5%152 W · 182 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0c…9db8backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 29c | 60.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 127 | 48.8%62 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 71c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 67c | 57.92$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b64…a351backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 30c | 48.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 69c | 47.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.88 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba8…8d3cbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 30c | 34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +4.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 31c | 33.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ae…106cbacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons vs. Northern Kentucky Norsethis page
- Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons vs. Northern Kentucky Norse: O/U 151.5Over won
- Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons vs. Northern Kentucky Norse: O/U 152.5Over won
- Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons vs. Northern Kentucky Norse: O/U 153.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.