CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs BESTIA (BO1) - BC Game Masters Championship Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc692d7876a4a09b59087b72b9a88c37fc21dcca893170ffdb62f05690b5bb64f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BESTIAof BASEMENT BOYS, BESTIA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,302
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,302 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb04b…e2d4backed BASEMENT BOYS | 41c | 2,636$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.84 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x883a…73b0backed BESTIA | 62c | 2,212$1,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.28 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked BESTIA | 60c | 1,950$1,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.14 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e6…2915backed BESTIA | 58c | 1,600$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.99 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33c6…6daabacked BASEMENT BOYS | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda1a…3407backed BESTIA | 65c | 1,259$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.77 | 289 | 60.6%175 W · 114 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked BASEMENT BOYS | 32c | 1,244$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.22 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 35c | 1,004$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.47 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e3…770ebacked BASEMENT BOYS | 35c | 775.66$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.48 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed BESTIA | 60c | 719.33$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.73 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d87…a82bbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 40c | 616$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.4 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed BASEMENT BOYS | 40c | 600$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 552 | 36.2%200 W · 352 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c78…aad1backed BESTIA | 62c | 561.27$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.27 | 384 | 56.3%216 W · 168 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed BASEMENT BOYS | 36c | 516.67$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.12 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ac…a735backed BASEMENT BOYS | 40c | 515.25$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.1 | 244 | 29.5%72 W · 172 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked BESTIA | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…2c42backed BASEMENT BOYS | 36c | 424.57$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.49 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 44c | 380$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.48 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed BASEMENT BOYS | 35c | 330.29$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.6 | 151 | 41.7%63 W · 88 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebd7…0e06backed BASEMENT BOYS | 30c | 326.1$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40cd…f932backed BASEMENT BOYS | 37c | 299.99$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed BASEMENT BOYS | 41c | 278.49$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.06 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda17…abc5backed BESTIA | 60c | 258.61$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.44 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed BASEMENT BOYS | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 485 | 62.7%304 W · 181 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed BESTIA | 65c | 243.14$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.18 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x016c…fd1bbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 35c | 225.14$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.92 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…6d93backed BESTIA | 57c | 199.99$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa62c…a3c1backed BASEMENT BOYS | 36c | 193.12$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.73 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadf8…1e82backed BESTIA | 75c | 190$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed BESTIA | 56c | 188.45$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.92 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a84…0e54backed BESTIA | 65c | 184.62$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.62 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24a…8382backed BESTIA | 75c | 181.17$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.68 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…6eacbacked BESTIA | 58c | 170$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.4 | 203 | 58.1%118 W · 85 L | +22.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +25%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x675f…aa0bbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 43c | 168.19$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.98 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed BASEMENT BOYS | 14c | 157.19$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.27 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…f15cbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 41c | 122.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf0…b95dbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 40c | 114.28$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.71 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked BESTIA | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 16c | 96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 286 | 44.1%126 W · 160 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed BESTIA | 75c | 95$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.86 | 247 | 47%116 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x281d…6adfbacked BESTIA | 60c | 95$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd6…ff34backed BESTIA | 74c | 93.99$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.73 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…d587backed BASEMENT BOYS | 16c | 92.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 350 | 33.4%117 W · 233 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed BESTIA | 75c | 86$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd2…1f27backed BESTIA | 67c | 81.88$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 544 | 39.7%216 W · 328 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea37…94f3backed BASEMENT BOYS | 35c | 79.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked BASEMENT BOYS | 16c | 66.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked BESTIA | 77c | 61$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedaa…89b4backed BASEMENT BOYS | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 245 | 35.9%88 W · 157 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…2368backed BESTIA | 65c | 46.35$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.35 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed BESTIA | 75c | 46$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 468 | 43.4%203 W · 265 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed BESTIA | 76c | 46$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.94 | 49 | 75.5%37 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed BASEMENT BOYS | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed BASEMENT BOYS | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 456 | 45.2%206 W · 250 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…3c81backed BESTIA | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed BESTIA | 72c | 36.15$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.98 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11ab…f911backed BESTIA | 75c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.83 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…3bbebacked BESTIA | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 384 | 52.1%200 W · 184 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf4…a399backed BESTIA | 65c | 33.08$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked BASEMENT BOYS | 40c | 32.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a0…d84fbacked BASEMENT BOYS | 43c | 30.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -5.8wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba6c…20e3backed BASEMENT BOYS | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7307…7d23backed BASEMENT BOYS | 43c | 29.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6cd…a591backed BESTIA | 60c | 26.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed BESTIA | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1528…e141backed BESTIA | 76c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfec3…c22cbacked BESTIA | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked BESTIA | 70c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 406 | 52.2%212 W · 194 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bd…e48fbacked BESTIA | 78c | 20.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.46 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f5…1a48backed BESTIA | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec6…e52cbacked BESTIA | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed BESTIA | 78c | 17.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.76 | 493 | 76.1%375 W · 118 L | +96.8wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.