La Liga · resolved market
Cádiz CF vs. RC Deportivo La Coruña: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc70b0cec65bb9f9a240e353f19eda4e5f4c4aaeadf03f779d260e5428eab3cc3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,458
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,877
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,458 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 1,930$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.36 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e8…88a4backed Over | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.99 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 32c | 1,174$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.53 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 45c | 1,032$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.53 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc385…8eb0backed Over | 75c | 625.33$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 56c | 615.78$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.17 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Over | 53c | 554.99$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff1…c554backed Over | 75c | 444$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…5d3abacked Over | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Under | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 102 | 30.4%31 W · 71 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…fdc0backed Over | 6c | 293.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 25c | 273.24$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.95 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Over | 76c | 206.26$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.71 | 79 | 60.8%48 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 24c | 202.58$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.96 | 354 | 42.7%151 W · 203 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 229 | 39.3%90 W · 139 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc02a…b43fbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…0262backed Over | 10c | 195.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…f183backed Over | 61c | 158.25$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.53 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 14c | 154.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Over | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 39c | 132$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.92 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 43c | 120$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 120 | 44.2%53 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 68c | 113.62$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 55c | 102.1$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.28 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3696…69cebacked Under | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Over | 62c | 88.71$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 221 | 57%126 W · 95 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 38c | 73.68$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 32c | 70$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 387 | 48.1%186 W · 201 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 44c | 68.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 26c | 67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.58 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2c…32bcbacked Over | 75c | 60$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 58c | 45$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b5c8backed Over | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 74c | 35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 72c | 33.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 168 | 65.5%110 W · 58 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 58c | 31.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 596 | 55.4%330 W · 266 L | +31.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a48…dc30backed Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 72 | 73.6%53 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6da…b2cdbacked Over | 75c | 14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cádiz CF vs. RC Deportivo La Coruña: O/U 1.5this page
- Cádiz CF vs. RC Deportivo La Coruña: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Cádiz CF vs. RC Deportivo La Coruña: O/U 2.5Under won
- Cádiz CF vs. RC Deportivo La Coruña: O/U 3.5Under won
- Cádiz CF vs. RC Deportivo La Coruña: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Cádiz CF (-1.5)RC Deportivo La Coruña won
- Spread: Cádiz CF (-2.5)RC Deportivo La Coruña won
- Spread: RC Deportivo La Coruña (-2.5)Cádiz CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.