La Liga · resolved market
Cádiz CF vs. RC Deportivo La Coruña: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe33306426f40f43b77be861c77883b879f2d5891077ea24bfec29ffac2a3fd02
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,230
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,163
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,230 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 32c | 3,120$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 177 | 31.1%55 W · 122 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 69c | 2,852$1,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.86 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28c7…fb64backed Under | 51c | 2,680$1,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 49c | 1,264$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.66 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…5854backed Over | 54c | 586$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.32 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 117 | 53.8%63 W · 54 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 49c | 336.51$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.78 | 754 | 51.2%386 W · 368 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Over | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 35c | 299.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 102 | 30.4%31 W · 71 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 64c | 281.46$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.47 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 49c | 264.21$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.14 | 697 | 50.8%354 W · 343 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 48c | 260$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 48c | 260$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Over | 49c | 240.26$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.73 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Over | 48c | 206.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 354 | 42.7%151 W · 203 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 48c | 205$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.4 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 63c | 204$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.23 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 48c | 178$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.73 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 49c | 142.83$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.03 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505a…bb61backed Over | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…077dbacked Over | 36c | 119.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d92…68e8backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Over | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.36 | 240 | 48.3%116 W · 124 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed Under | 78c | 87.7$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.65 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Over | 24c | 82.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Under | 46c | 69$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.26 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24a3…7c66backed Over | 50c | 66$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6d…fc98backed Under | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d90…a115backed Over | 50c | 58.52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 49c | 54.24$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.58 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffac…d469backed Over | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 56c | 45.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.83 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 50c | 23.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b91…27dcbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cádiz CF vs. RC Deportivo La Coruña: O/U 2.5this page
- Cádiz CF vs. RC Deportivo La Coruña: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Cádiz CF vs. RC Deportivo La Coruña: O/U 1.5Under won
- Cádiz CF vs. RC Deportivo La Coruña: O/U 3.5Under won
- Cádiz CF vs. RC Deportivo La Coruña: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Cádiz CF (-1.5)RC Deportivo La Coruña won
- Spread: Cádiz CF (-2.5)RC Deportivo La Coruña won
- Spread: RC Deportivo La Coruña (-2.5)Cádiz CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.