Lol · resolved market
LoL: Axolotl vs Zena Esports (BO1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc70cb873575f36e4e961ea940016260e1fe4d8b480c83e5c281d24cf465b6bfa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zena Esportsof Axolotl, Zena Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,128
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,883
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,128 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Axolotl | 0c | 7,565$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.29 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Zena Esports | 63c | 2,429$1,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.85 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked Axolotl | 45c | 1,208$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.2 | 486 | 52.1%253 W · 233 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Axolotl | 40c | 1,180$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.64 | 299 | 27.8%83 W · 216 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9f…787abacked Axolotl | 41c | 1,062$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.33 | 610 | 45.2%276 W · 334 L | +35.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Zena Esports | 58c | 1,034$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.48 | 808 | 32.9%266 W · 542 L | -43.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5099…7d87backed Axolotl | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 2.3%1 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Axolotl | 42c | 999.99$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Axolotl | 23c | 389.5$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.7 | 456 | 18.9%86 W · 370 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Zena Esports | 58c | 312.07$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.07 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed Axolotl | 41c | 207.88$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.23 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74a8…df59backed Zena Esports | 59c | 175.34$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.89 | 360 | 34.4%124 W · 236 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Axolotl | 33c | 173.24$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.37 | 390 | 44.9%175 W · 215 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22c6…4574backed Zena Esports | 67c | 122.44$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.91 | 217 | 56.7%123 W · 94 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Zena Esports | 62c | 110$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Axolotl | 38c | 110$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 403 | 47.4%191 W · 212 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…7066backed Zena Esports | 61c | 108.98$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Zena Esports | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Axolotl | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Axolotl | 35c | 83.72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.13 | 697 | 56.5%394 W · 303 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Zena Esports | 18c | 83.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.4 | 95 | 9.5%9 W · 86 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d8…b398backed Zena Esports | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Axolotl | 42c | 67.92$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.53 | 185 | 49.7%92 W · 93 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4412…35b8backed Axolotl | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -4.3wins | -0.19per pick | 58cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac0…540abacked Axolotl | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.6wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde2a…6bfebacked Axolotl | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 722 | 34.1%246 W · 476 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.