Lol · resolved market
LoL: Galions vs Esprit Shōnen - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc71fa8185bed32eb3f473d50163b0de2da500f18f821912c4d34ebe710a383df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Galionsof Galions, Esprit Shōnen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,652
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,846
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,652 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac75…1319backed Galions | 79c | 4,235$3,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.43 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Galions | 80c | 2,664$2,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.7 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x586a…6610backed Esprit Shōnen | 21c | 2,600$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Esprit Shōnen | 20c | 1,858$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.6 | 1,301 | 38.6%502 W · 799 L | -65.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Esprit Shōnen | 6c | 1,799$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.38 | 190 | 41.1%78 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Esprit Shōnen | 3c | 1,659$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.78 | 893 | 47%420 W · 473 L | +44.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfad…fa05backed Esprit Shōnen | 25c | 1,626$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,218 | 58.1%708 W · 510 L | +44.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3737…bfd1backed Esprit Shōnen | 28c | 1,317$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.7 | 379 | 57.5%218 W · 161 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Galions | 75c | 1,269$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.37 | 878 | 44.2%388 W · 490 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Galions | 79c | 1,045$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.63 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x000e…f7e9backed Esprit Shōnen | 19c | 999.97$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.99 | 899 | 43.4%390 W · 509 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Esprit Shōnen | 21c | 749.75$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.45 | 131 | 30.5%40 W · 91 L | -13.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x44c8…a9ffbacked Esprit Shōnen | 21c | 617.57$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.69 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Galions | 79c | 540$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.4 | 2,152 | 53.3%1,147 W · 1,005 L | +58.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Galions | 79c | 510$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109 | 1,792 | 51.1%916 W · 876 L | +50.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Galions | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.05 | 2,490 | 47.3%1,179 W · 1,311 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb66…c8dfbacked Esprit Shōnen | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c78…2ab1backed Esprit Shōnen | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked Esprit Shōnen | 21c | 460.85$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.77 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Esprit Shōnen | 18c | 446$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.28 | 828 | 36.4%301 W · 527 L | -41.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…4030backed Esprit Shōnen | 20c | 382.5$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 214 | 40.2%86 W · 128 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Esprit Shōnen | 22c | 370$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.39 | 1,818 | 39.9%726 W · 1,092 L | -59.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf268…960fbacked Galions | 79c | 353.28$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.28 | 474 | 53.4%253 W · 221 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Galions | 77c | 262.72$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.44 | 1,660 | 59.5%987 W · 673 L | +97.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Esprit Shōnen | 20c | 255$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 447 | 43.6%195 W · 252 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Esprit Shōnen | 18c | 254$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.72 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Galions | 80c | 243.37$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.67 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Esprit Shōnen | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 413 | 43.8%181 W · 232 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Galions | 79c | 199.99$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 1,149 | 45.2%519 W · 630 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7673…fa40backed Esprit Shōnen | 21c | 192.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc52…dfcebacked Galions | 79c | 189.99$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 201 | 54.7%110 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x616f…e14cbacked Esprit Shōnen | 21c | 189.76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.85 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | -8.6wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfae6…ab69backed Galions | 77c | 180.75$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.57 | 542 | 46.3%251 W · 291 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Esprit Shōnen | 21c | 180.5$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.43 | 746 | 37.9%283 W · 463 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Esprit Shōnen | 19c | 150$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 348 | 49.1%171 W · 177 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Galions | 70c | 115.76$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.73 | 2,672 | 35.7%954 W · 1,718 L | -153.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Galions | 75c | 115.76$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.94 | 390 | 55.4%216 W · 174 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked Esprit Shōnen | 20c | 111.37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.03 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b04…f792backed Galions | 77c | 105.19$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.19 | 392 | 66.6%261 W · 131 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd7…8553backed Esprit Shōnen | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 698 | 57.4%401 W · 297 L | +37.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked Esprit Shōnen | 21c | 96.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 330 | 39.7%131 W · 199 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37ca…f644backed Esprit Shōnen | 28c | 72.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 246 | 58.5%144 W · 102 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76d4…c512backed Esprit Shōnen | 23c | 60.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -8.6wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c5…6483backed Galions | 76c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 269 | 58%156 W · 113 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Galions | 75c | 55.48$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 2,187 | 33.3%729 W · 1,458 L | -71.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3090…be73backed Esprit Shōnen | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 148 | 51.4%76 W · 72 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c68…570cbacked Esprit Shōnen | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Galions | 74c | 42.66$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.09 | 322 | 53.1%171 W · 151 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3073…3413backed Esprit Shōnen | 24c | 42.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 189 | 60.3%114 W · 75 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f77…39f8backed Galions | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Galions vs Esprit Shōnen - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: GAL (-1.5) vs Esprit Shōnen (+1.5)Galions won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Galions vs Esprit Shōnen (BO3) - LFL PlayoffsGalions won
- LoL: Galions vs Esprit Shōnen - Game 2 WinnerGalions won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.